Match Info

Brasil Ladies Cup Women - Semi-finals

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio do Caninde (Sao Paulo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	BandSports


	Grêmio Porto Alegrense		Peñarol

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.06	5.89	Watch
	1.42	4.1	6.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)	4.08 ↓ (4.1)	6.27 ↑ (5.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Porto Alegrense
62.9%

Draw
22.4%

Peñarol
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22.1%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Porto Alegrense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Peñarol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Peñarol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raissa Tayna (G) 5. Amanda Brunner 16. Arrieta C. 97. Bia Santos 27. Dani Barao 99. Giovaninha 77. Gisele 7. Pini 20. Ramos M. 11. Rodriguez Y. 3. Tayla (C)	12. Alonso M. (G) 19. Basso G. 26. De Cuadro E. 5. Diaz C. 3. Farias D. 30. Jaureguiberry C. 23. Larrea S. 6. Larrosa C. 8. Magallanes T. 66. Rodriguez A. 11. Villa J.
Substitutes
21. Brito 8. Drika 52. Julia Martins 4. Karol Arcanjo 90. Kim Campos 33. Leticia (G) 95. Maria Dias 6. Montoya D. 30. Moreno L. 9. Valeria Paula	13. Dominguez 20. Dorado 22. Fernandez M. 29. Marcia 9. Martinez 21. Monteiro 25. Pazos 14. Rolfo J. 1. Sburlati V. (G) 17. Vera 10. Vidiella

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Rodriguez Y. ⚽,
35', Larrea S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Diaz C. ↓, Dominguez ↑,
55', Bia Santos 🟨,
65', Rodriguez A. ↓, Marcia ↑,
66', De Cuadro E. ↓, Vidiella ↑,
66', Villa J. ↓, Rolfo J. ↑,
67', Rodriguez Y. ↓, Valeria Paula ↑,
77', Amanda Brunner ↓, Montoya D. ↑,
80', Dominguez 🟨,
80', Basso G. ↓, Martinez ↑,
82', Arrieta C. 🟨,
82', Marcia 🟨,
86', Gisele ↓, Maria Dias ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Dominguez (Own goal),

Preview

Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Grêmio is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Porto Alegrense Women
Brazilian Gaucho Women
11.10.25	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Juventude	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Internacional - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Internacional	4:1 ✺
13.08.25	Juventude - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Brasil de Farroupilha	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWTW
- Peñarol Women
Copa Libertadores Women
10.10.24	Independiente del Valle - Peñarol	2:0 ✺
07.10.24	Ferroviária - Peñarol	2:2 ✺
04.10.24	Peñarol - Independiente Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
12.03.21	Libertad Limpeño - Peñarol	0:0 ✺
09.03.21	Ferroviária - Peñarol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36.3 LTTTT

Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Peñarol: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide