Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 11

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre)


	Grêmio Porto Alegrense		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.9
	2.22	3.3	2.9
	2.29	3.47	2.86
	2.32	3.39	2.96	Watch
	2.28	3.18	2.9
	2.22	3.3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.85)	3.29 ↑ (3.1)	2.9 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Porto Alegrense
40.7%

Draw
27.8%

Red Bull Bragantino
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

27.3%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

25%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Porto Alegrense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Porto Alegrense than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio Porto Alegrense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Bull Bragantino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Grêmio (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Leticia (G) 97. Bia Santos 27. Dani Barao 99. Giovaninha 4. Karol Arcanjo 66. Katielle 17. Luana Spindler 6. Montoya D. 15. Raissa Bahia 20. Ramos M. 3. Tayla (C)	12. Thalya (G) 14. Ana Carla 18. Carol Tavares 15. Debora 11. Gramaglia P. 32. Lele 5. Ongaro C. 27. Stella (C) 2. Tamires 23. Thayslane 33. Valverde
Substitutes
5. Amanda Brunner 21. Brito 8. Drika 44. Emille 77. Gisele 52. Julia Martins 95. Maria Dias 7. Pini 1. Raissa Tayna (G) 11. Rodriguez Y. 64. Shasha 9. Valeria Paula	1. Alice (G) 28. Catarina F. d. S. C. d. L. 31. Dos Santos 24. Emelli 6. Gabi Medeiros 7. Isa Rangel 29. Janyele 21. Tayna 10. Vivian

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Dani Barao 🟨,
20', Ongaro C. 🟨,
36', Thayslane 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Luana Spindler ↓, Gisele ↑,
56', Bia Santos 🟨,
65', Bia Santos 🟨,
66', Ana Carla ↓, Vivian ↑,
66', Raissa Bahia ↓, Maria Dias ↑,
67', Katielle ↓, Shasha ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Gisele ⚽,
77', Montoya D. ↓, Amanda Brunner ↑,
78', Lele ↓, Emelli ↑,
78', Carol Tavares ↓, Dos Santos ↑,
80', Thayslane ↓, Isa Rangel ↑,
81', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Grêmio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Grêmio will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Porto Alegrense Women
Brasileiro Women
12.05.25	Sport Recife - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Juventude	3:1 ✺
01.05.25	Corinthians - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	2:0 ✺
28.04.25	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Internacional	2:2 ✺
19.04.25	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TWLTL
- Red Bull Bragantino Women
Brazilian Paulista Women
15.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo	0:3 ✺
Brasileiro Women
11.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino - América Mineiro	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
07.05.25	Corinthians - Red Bull Bragantino	4:0 ✺
Brasileiro Women
04.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
01.05.25	Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
22.04.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	1:0
11.06.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	1:1

Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Red Bull Bragantino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide