Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 8

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Joia da Princesa (Feira de Santana)


	Bahia		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	2.9	3	2.25
	2.8	3.2	2.33
	2.84	3.18	2.47
	2.88	3.24	2.44	Watch
	3.03	3.4	2.25
	2.8	3.2	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.5)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)	2.35 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia
32%

Draw
28.7%

Red Bull Bragantino
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

27.5%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

26.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Yanne (G) 3. Aila (C) 13. Camila Santos 24. Carballo W. 28. Cassia 2. Dan 96. Ju Oliveira 30. Mari Pires 7. Rhaizza 77. Suelen 64. Tchula	12. Thalya (G) 14. Ana Carla 30. Brenda Pinheiro 15. Debora 31. Dos Santos 19. Gessica 11. Gramaglia P. 32. Lele (C) 2. Tamires 23. Thayslane 33. Valverde
Substitutes
16. Barbosa C. 33. Dida (G) 20. Ellen Santana 5. Gomez A. 6. India 14. Kaiuska 10. Luana Rodrigues 1. Nagila (G) 4. Nalon N. 70. Thais Prado 18. Vilma	1. Alice (G) 18. Carol Tavares 28. Catarina F. d. S. C. d. L. 24. Emelli 7. Isa Rangel 8. Jane 29. Janyele 5. Ongaro C. 27. Stella 21. Tayna 10. Vivian

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Lele 🟨,
44', Tchula 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lele ↓, Ongaro C. ↑,
46', Carballo W. ↓, Vilma ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Camila Santos ⚽,
62', Rhaizza ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
68', Suelen ↓, Kaiuska ↑,
71', Dos Santos 🟨,
74', Mari Pires 🟨,
77', Ana Carla ↓, Jane ↑,
84', Ju Oliveira ↓, Thais Prado ↑,
84', Brenda Pinheiro ↓, Vivian ↑,
84', Mari Pires ↓, Ellen Santana ↑,
85', Tamires ↓, Carol Tavares ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).

Bahia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bragantino is in a cheap shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 1).

In this match, the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia Women
Brasileiro Women
27.04.25	Bahia - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Palmeiras - Bahia	3:1 ✺
16.04.25	Bahia - Real Brasilia	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Bahia	1:0 ✺
31.03.25	América Mineiro - Bahia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWLT
- Red Bull Bragantino Women
Brasileiro Women
26.04.25	Cruzeiro - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo	2:0 ✺
16.04.25	Juventude - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Real Brasilia - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Corinthians	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LWLLT

Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide