Match Info

Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 9

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday


	Grêmio Prudente		Atlético Monte Azul

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.06	3.01	3.55
	2.05	3.1	3.53	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.5
	2.03	3.04	3.58	Watch
	2.08	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (2.01)	3.03 ↓ (3.32)	3.53 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Prudente
44.4%

Draw
29.9%

Atlético Monte Azul
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

27.6%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

25%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Prudente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Atlético Monte Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Prudente than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Monte Azul than the current prediction. (+4%)

Grêmio Prudente - Atlético Monte Azul Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Monte Azul (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monte Azul (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 13).

In recent matches, Grêmio Prudente has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Monte Azul's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Grêmio Prudente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Grêmio Prudente will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Grêmio Prudente won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Grêmio Prudente won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Prudente
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
07.02.26	São Bento - Grêmio Prudente	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Votuporanguense - Grêmio Prudente	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Grêmio Prudente - Piracicaba	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Grêmio Prudente - CA Juventus	1:2 ✺
21.01.26	Sertãozinho - Grêmio Prudente	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTTLT
- Atlético Monte Azul
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
02.02.26	Piracicaba - Atlético Monte Azul	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Atlético Monte Azul - Votuporanguense	2:3 ✺
24.01.26	São José-SP - Atlético Monte Azul	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	São Bento - Atlético Monte Azul	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Atlético Monte Azul - Linense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
16.07.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Grêmio Prudente	1:1
14.06.25	Grêmio Prudente - Atlético Monte Azul	3:1

Grêmio Prudente - Atlético Monte Azul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide