The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Grêmio Prudente 46.6%
Draw 27.6%
Red Bull Bragantino II 25.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.9%
26.3%
29.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
27.4%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Prudente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Red Bull Bragantino II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Prudente than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino II than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, De Paula ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Marcos Paulo ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, Rodrigo Andrade ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 3 - 1, De Paula ⚽,
63', 4 - 1, Rodrigo Andrade (Pen),
76', 4 - 2, Kawe (Pen),
Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Grêmio Prudente is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Red Bull Bragantino II is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Grêmio Prudente will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Grêmio Prudente won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.