Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A3 - ROUND 15

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	EC São Bernardo		Red Bull Bragantino II

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.2	3.6
	1.86	3.2	3.76
	1.87	3.2	3.76
	1.87	3.38	3.76
	1.88	3.35	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.85)	3.27 ↓ (3.3)	3.72 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC São Bernardo
48.2%

Draw
27.6%

Red Bull Bragantino II
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

27.4%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

29.1%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Red Bull Bragantino II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino II than the current prediction. (-2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

EC São Bernardo is Qualified for Paulista A3 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Red Bull Bragantino II is Qualified for Paulista A3 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

EC São Bernardo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Red Bull Bragantino II is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

EC São Bernardo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

EC São Bernardo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São Bernardo
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
16.03.24	Bandeirante - EC São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
13.03.24	EC São Bernardo - Rio Preto	2:1 ✺
08.03.24	EC São Bernardo - Marília	2:2 ✺
02.03.24	Lemense FC - EC São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
28.02.24	EC São Bernardo - São Caetano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWTTW
- Red Bull Bragantino II
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
16.03.24	Red Bull Bragantino II - Grêmio Prudente	3:2 ✺
13.03.24	Marília - Red Bull Bragantino II	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Red Bull Bragantino II - São Caetano	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	União Suzano - Red Bull Bragantino II	1:1 ✺
28.02.24	Red Bull Bragantino II - Rio Preto	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWTW

EC São Bernardo - Red Bull Bragantino II: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide