Match Info

Division 1 - Round 5

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Vivaldivöllurinn (Seltjarnarnes)


	Grótta		Vestri

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3.5	2.15
	2.7	3.5	2.17	Watch
	2.8	3.74	2.27
	2.83	3.58	2.29	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.2
	2.76	3.44	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3.26)	3.53 ↓ (3.99)	2.22 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grótta
33.1%

Draw
25.8%

Vestri
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

23.2%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

22.9%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grótta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Vestri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vestri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grótta than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grótta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vestri than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vestri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Grótta - Vestri Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Grótta will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Vestri will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ingason G. (G) 7. Andresson B. 4. Bjarkason D. 21. Ingolfsson T. 10. Jakobsson G. (C) 9. Jonasson A. 30. Kjeld M. 8. McLagan C. 24. Nokkvason N. 20. Thordarson K. 16. Thorsteinson H.	1. Steinarsson M. (G) 6. Balde I. 3. Edson Eduardo 77. Fall S. 22. Gardarsson E. (C) 10. Hafthorsson T. G. 17. Hauksson G. 23. Hermannsson B. 27. Morfelt C. 12. Phete T. 7. Stensson J.
Substitutes
1. Arnarsson A. (G) 3. Bragason J. 25. Hauksson E. 5. Petursson P. 11. Sigurdarson A. 77. Stefansson A. 14. Sveinbjarnarson E.	9. Bjarnason P. 29. Cheshmedjiev K. 19. Duah E. 45. Einarsson G. 13. Johannsson A. 11. Selven J. 33. Snaedal B. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Kjeld M. ⚽,
29', Hafthorsson T. G. ↓, Selven J. ↑,
43', Hauksson G. ↓, Cheshmedjiev K. ↑,
45', 1 - 1, Morfelt C. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 2)
51', 2 - 1, Kjeld M. (Penalty Awarded),
58', 🟨,
68', 3 - 1, Jonasson A. ⚽,
70', Morfelt C. ↓, Einarsson G. ↑,
70', Hermannsson B. ↓, Bjarnason P. ↑,
71', Fall S. ↓, Duah E. ↑,
71', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
79', Ingolfsson T. ↓, Sveinbjarnarson E. ↑,
79', Thorsteinson H. ↓, Hauksson E. ↑,
82', 3 - 2, Phete T. ⚽,
88', 3 - 3, Einarsson G. ⚽,
90', 4 - 3, Andresson B. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
90+4', 5 - 3, Stefansson A. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grótta won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Grótta won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:21. (average 2.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Grótta won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:5. (average 3.1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Grótta
Icelandic Division 1
18.05.26	Grótta - Afturelding	1:3 ✺
Icelandic Cup
14.05.26	Vestri - Grótta	0:4 ✺
Icelandic Division 1
09.05.26	Ægir - Grótta	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Grótta - Leiknir Reykjavík	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	HK Kópavogur - Grótta	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWLL
- IF Vestri
Icelandic Division 1
17.05.26	Ægir - Vestri	1:2 ✺
Icelandic Cup
14.05.26	Vestri - Grótta	0:4 ✺
Icelandic Division 1
09.05.26	Vestri - HK Kópavogur	4:3 ✺
04.05.26	Fylkir - Vestri	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Vestri - Grindavik	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Cup
14.05.26	Vestri - Grótta	0:4
Icelandic League Cup
25.03.24	Grótta - Vestri	3:0
Icelandic Division 1
29.07.23	Vestri - Grótta	3:0
21.05.23	Grótta - Vestri	2:2
Icelandic Cup
06.04.23	Grótta - Vestri	1:0
Icelandic Division 1
23.07.22	Vestri - Grótta	3:1
07.05.22	Grótta - Vestri	5:0

Grótta - Vestri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide