Match Info

Division 1 - Round 4

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Location: Vivaldivöllurinn (Seltjarnarnes)


	Grótta		Afturelding

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.35	4.05	1.57	Watch
	4.81	4.31	1.65
	4.78	3.77	1.68	Watch
	4.4	3.75	1.62
	4.4	4.08	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.55 ↓ (5.8)	3.99 ↓ (4.04)	1.64 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grótta
20.4%

Draw
23.2%

Afturelding
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

23%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

22.5%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grótta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Afturelding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grótta than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Afturelding could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Grótta - Afturelding Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Grótta will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Afturelding will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ingason G. (G) 7. Andresson B. 4. Bjarkason D. 21. Ingolfsson T. 10. Jakobsson G. (C) 9. Jonasson A. 30. Kjeld M. 8. McLagan C. 24. Nokkvason N. 20. Thordarson K. 16. Thorsteinson H.	1. Johannesson A. (G) 3. Andresson A. 16. Barkarson B. B. 11. Bjarkason O. 10. Cogic E. 27. Cogic E. 33. Hoti A. 8. Kooistra B. 5. Petursson J. 6. Saevarsson A. (C) 2. Saevarsson B.
Substitutes
1. Arnarsson A. (G) 3. Bragason J. 25. Hauksson E. 5. Petursson P. 77. Stefansson A. 13. Stefansson B. 14. Sveinbjarnarson E.	25. Bjarnason G. 79. Dadason R. 23. Haraldsson A. H. 9. Holtan J. 4. Sigmarsson G. 85. Sigurkarlsson K. (G) 24. Thrainsson T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', Thorsteinson H. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Kooistra B. ⚽, Saevarsson B. (A),
28', 0 - 2, Cogic E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Nokkvason N. ↓, Bragason J. ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Jakobsson G. ⚽, McLagan C. (A),
70', Cogic E. ↓, Holtan J. ↑,
70', Petursson J. ↓, Thrainsson T. ↑,
76', Jonasson A. ↓, Stefansson A. ↑,
81', Kooistra B. 🟨,
87', Ingolfsson T. ↓, Petursson P. ↑,
87', McLagan C. ↓, Sveinbjarnarson E. ↑,
87', Thordarson K. ↓, Hauksson E. ↑,
88', Cogic E. ↓, Sigmarsson G. ↑,
90', 1 - 3, Bjarkason O. ⚽, Kooistra B. (A),
90+4', Kooistra B. ↓, Dadason R. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grótta won 0.

Grótta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Afturelding is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Afturelding is seen as the favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Grótta won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Grótta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 2.4:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Grótta
Icelandic Cup
14.05.26	Vestri - Grótta	0:4 ✺
Icelandic Division 1
09.05.26	Ægir - Grótta	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Grótta - Leiknir Reykjavík	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	HK Kópavogur - Grótta	4:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup
06.04.26	Grótta - Álftaness	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLLW
- Afturelding
Icelandic Cup
13.05.26	Afturelding - Njarðvík	5:2 ✺
Icelandic Division 1
08.05.26	Leiknir Reykjavík - Afturelding	0:3 ✺
01.05.26	Afturelding - Völsungur	0:0 ✺
24.04.26	Afturelding - IR Reykjavik	4:7 ✺
Icelandic Cup
29.03.26	IR Reykjavik - Afturelding	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic League Cup
06.02.26	Afturelding - Grótta	2:0
Icelandic Division 1
18.07.24	Grótta - Afturelding	1:4
03.05.24	Afturelding - Grótta	1:1
02.08.23	Afturelding - Grótta	1:1
26.05.23	Grótta - Afturelding	2:3
Icelandic League Cup
25.02.23	Grótta - Afturelding	1:1
Icelandic Division 1
12.08.22	Grótta - Afturelding	4:2

Grótta - Afturelding: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide