Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Guadalupe		Pitbulls

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.50	3.10
	1.95	3.4	3.15	Watch
	1.97	3.58	2.96
	1.88	3.76	3.66	Watch
	1.93	3.5	2.9
	1.98	3.45	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.79)	3.53 ↑ (3.45)	3.16 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guadalupe
46.2%

Draw
25.4%

Pitbulls
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

25.6%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

27.3%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guadalupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Pitbulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guadalupe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pitbulls than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Guadalupe - Pitbulls Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 2 - 1, ⚽,
85', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 8th and 1st in the Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

Guadalupe has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Pitbulls shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Pitbulls may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Guadalupe is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Guadalupe has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guadalupe FC
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
19.09.26	Guadalupe - Moravia	0:3 ✺
13.09.26	Santa Ana - Guadalupe	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Guadalupe - Uruguay de Coronado	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Cariari Pococí - Guadalupe	3:3 ✺
24.08.26	Guadalupe - Carmelita	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
24.09.26	Cariari Pococí - Pitbulls	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Pitbulls - Cariari Pococí	1:0 ✺
14.09.26	Pitbulls - Moravia	3:2 ✺
07.09.26	Carmelita - Pitbulls	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Pitbulls - Santa Ana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
10.08.26	Pitbulls - Guadalupe	2:2

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