Match Info

Yi League - Round 19

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Huadu Stadium (Guangzhou)


	Guangdong Mingtu		Wenzhou Professional

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	2.87	2.2
	2.92	2.98	2.32
	2.88	3.1	2.45
				Watch
	2.61	3.27	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.25)	3.06 ↑ (2.92)	2.38 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangdong Mingtu
31.7%

Draw
29.9%

Wenzhou Professional
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

31.1%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

29.7%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangdong Mingtu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Wenzhou Professional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wenzhou Professional than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Guangdong Mingtu - Wenzhou Professional Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Pang Jiajun (G) 51. Yao H. 5. Zheng Zhiming 3. Liu Ruicheng 52. Zhong W. 55. Pan N. 21. Huang Guangliang (C) 66. Gu Zhiwei 43. Zhu X. 20. Liu Ziheng 42. He J.	37. Jappar M. (G) 13. Kurban I. 8. Han Tianlin 16. Zhang Hongjiang (C) 21. Liu Jing 18. Lu Jiabin 10. Ruan Sai 7. Muhta M. 57. Lu Y. 45. Jin Yunchao 9. Tian Jiarui
Substitutes
45. Chen L. 15. Chen Rijin 59. Li J. (G) 9. Li Mingfan 49. Li T. 48. Liu Z. 4. Peng Jiahao 56. Tang Tianyi 68. Tang Wenxuan 8. Wen Y. 57. Wu Z. 65. Xin Hongjun	47. Liu Fanyi 11. Lu Shihao 53. Sun Weikai 6. Tash M. 22. Wang G. 58. Wang Qihong 25. Wang X.
Coaches
Li X.	Esteva J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Liu Ziheng ⚽, Gu Zhiwei (A),
21', Han Tianlin 🟨,
22', Gu Zhiwei 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, Ruan Sai ⚽, Muhta M. (A),
45+4', Lu Jiabin 🟨,
45+4', Liu Jing 🟨,
45+7', Tian Jiarui 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Han Tianlin ↓, Wang G. ↑,
46', Kurban I. ↓, Wang Qihong ↑,
57', Zheng Zhiming 🟨,
62', Gu Zhiwei ↓, Xin Hongjun ↑,
62', Liu Ziheng ↓, Wen Y. ↑,
62', Huang Guangliang ↓, Tang Wenxuan ↑,
64', Tian Jiarui ↓, Liu Fanyi ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Muhta M. (Pen),
78', Zhu X. ↓, Tang Tianyi ↑,
80', Ruan Sai ↓, Lu Shihao ↑,
83', Tang Wenxuan 🟨,
84', Zheng Zhiming ↓, Peng Jiahao ↑,
86', He J. ↓, Li Ming ↑,
89', Lu Y. ↓, Tash M. ↑,
90+10', Wang Qihong 🟨,
90+11', Jin Yunchao 🟨,
90+13', Jin Yunchao 🟨,
90+17', Lu Jiabin ↓, Sun Weikai ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).

Guangdong Mingtu is Yi League (Relegation Group )

Guangdong Mingtu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wenzhou's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Guangdong Mingtu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wenzhou is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guangdong Mingtu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangdong Mingtu
Chinese Yi League
05.07.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Guangdong Mingtu	1:0 ✺
01.07.25	Guangdong Mingtu - Wuhan Three Towns B	2:3 ✺
27.06.25	Guangdong Mingtu - Quanzhou Yassin	2:1 ✺
22.06.25	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guangdong Mingtu	3:0 ✺
14.06.25	Guangdong Mingtu - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWLW
- Wenzhou Professional
Chinese Yi League
06.07.25	Ganzhou Ruishi - Wenzhou Professional	2:2 ✺
02.07.25	Wenzhou Professional - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	0:1 ✺
28.06.25	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Wenzhou Professional	1:0 ✺
22.06.25	Wenzhou Professional - Wuhan Three Towns B	1:1 ✺
17.06.25	Quanzhou Yassin - Wenzhou Professional	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
07.05.25	Wenzhou Professional - Guangdong Mingtu	1:1

Guangdong Mingtu - Wenzhou Professional: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide