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Current Win Probability
Guangxi Hengchen 63.9%
Draw 23.2%
Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 12.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.9%
25%
22.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56%
23.6%
20.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guangxi Hengchen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangxi Hengchen's performance.
Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangxi Hengchen that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
45. Dai Jiatong (G) 32. Li S. 5. Luan H. 27. Zhang Zijian 3. Yuan X. 28. Wang Haozhi 18. Wei Chaolun 25. Ren K. 42. Ji Tianle 17. Zhang Huajun 11. Fei Ernanduo
51. Fan Mengtong (G) 20. Fan Ruiwei 9. Li Jiaheng 16. Cai M. 55. Huang Peizhao 42. Chen Yuhao 19. Yang Youxian 52. Diao Jiahao 33. Liu Jiqiang 58. Guo Wuyue 60. Liang Yibin
Substitutes
19. Cen Liyi 47. Chen D. 52. Chen G. 24. Deng H. 23. Guo Z. 58. Huang Y. 56. Ji X. 16. Ning W. 21. Ren Wei 8. Wang H. 29. Yao Zixuan 55. Zhang D. (G)
23. Chen Jianlong 21. Chen Xing 48. Diliyar A. 43. Huang Yiwen 5. Liang Junheng 11. Liang Z. 3. Li Bin 47. Li Haoyu 56. Ling Chuanbin 17. Li Zhuoxuan 1. Long Wenhao (G) 46. Luo Kai
Coaches
Liu Junwei
Tan E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ji Tianle ↓, Ji X. ↑,
46', Yang Youxian ↓, Liang Z. ↑,
55', Zhang Huajun ↓, Ning W. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Luan H. ⚽, Wang Haozhi (A),
63', Wang Haozhi ↓, Chen G. ↑,
64', Cai M. ↓, Li Zhuoxuan ↑,
64', Liang Yibin ↓, Huang Yiwen ↑,
74', Fan Ruiwei 🟨,
74', Chen Yuhao ↓, Luo Kai ↑,
74', Ren K. ↓, Chen D. ↑,
74', Fei Ernanduo ↓, Huang Y. ↑,
83', Li Jiaheng ↓, Dilyar A. ↑,
83', Liu Jiqiang ↓, Ling Chuanbin ↑,
89', Wei Chaolun ↓, Wang H. ↑,
90', Li S. 🟨,
90+4', Chen D. 🟨,
90+4', Diao Jiahao 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).
Guangxi Hengchen is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )
Guangxi Hengchen has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Guangzhou Dandelion is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Guangzhou Dandelion may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Guangxi Hengchen is the clear favorite.
We predict that Guangxi Hengchen will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guangxi Hengchen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Watch
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Dai Jiatong (G) 
Diliyar A. 
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