Match Info

League One - Round 6

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Guangxi Sports Center (Nanning)


	Guangxi Hengchen		Nanjing City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.2	4.33
	1.72	3.25	4.45
	1.75	3.37	4.77
	1.75	3.4	4.7	Watch
	1.75	3	4.5
	1.74	3.28	4.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 (1.74)	3.25 ↓ (3.38)	4.54 ↓ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Hengchen
52.1%

Draw
27.9%

Nanjing City
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

27.4%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

26.7%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Hengchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Guangxi Hengchen - Nanjing City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Liang Kun (G) 32. Li S. 5. Luan H. 27. Zhang Zijian 3. Yuan X. (C) 24. Ji X. 23. Khedrup Lobsang 44. Liang Yibin 10. Ardazishvili R. 11. Lapoussin L. 36. Mbo N.	26. Yang Chao (G) 4. Zhao Chengle 18. Dong Honglin (C) 20. Liu Le 10. Ngom Mbekeli J. 15. Tayir Shewketjan 22. Meng Zhen 17. An Bang 9. Ze Vitor 2. Wang Xijie 7. Robertinho
Substitutes
28. Ablimit Subi 19. Cen Liyi 7. Chen D. 6. Chen G. 21. Dai Ming 42. Ji Tianle 20. Lu Junhui 16. Ning W. 25. Ren K. 22. Shen Bokai (G) 12. Yao-hsing Yu 17. Zhang Huajun	24. Du Junpeng 29. Fu Shang 23. Hu Jinghang 19. Ma Fuyu 5. Wong W. 33. Xiang Rongjun 21. Xi Anjie (G) 8. Yang Dejiang 39. Yu Menghui 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 6. Zhou Y. 31. Zhu Qiwen
Coaches
Liu Junwei	Goncalves R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Liang Yibin ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Liu Le ↓, Xiang Rongjun ↑,
46', An Bang ↓, Yu Menghui ↑,
62', Ardazishvili R. 🟨,
64', Robertinho ↓, Zhou Y. ↑,
69', Liang Yibin ↓, Chen D. ↑,
74', Zhou Y. 🟨,
78', Yu Menghui 🟨,
79', Ngom Mbekeli J. ↓, Ma Fuyu ↑,
81', Ji X. ↓, Dai Ming ↑,
81', Ardazishvili R. ↓, Ren K. ↑,
85', Zhao Chengle ↓, Wong W. ↑,
90+2', Lapoussin L. ↓, Ablimit Subi ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Guangxi Hengchen is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Guangxi Hengchen	25	13	6	6	40:27	13	45
15	Nanjing City	25	5	6	14	21:37	-16	21

Last Results with these Odds

Guangxi Hengchen - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 53.31%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese Jia League
18.04.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Guangxi Hengchen	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Meizhou Hakka - Guangxi Hengchen	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:0 ✺
20.03.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Ningbo Professional	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Dingnan United - Guangxi Hengchen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWWL
- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
18.04.26	Nanjing City - Shenzhen Juniors	1:3 ✺
12.04.26	Dingnan United - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Nantong Zhiyun - Nanjing City	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Nanjing City - Yanbian Longding	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Nanjing City - Changchun Yatai	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTLTW

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