The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nanjing City 43.8%
Draw 27.8%
Dalian Kun City 28.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.2%
28.3%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.2%
27.9%
34.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nanjing City's performance.
Dalian Kun City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dalian Kun City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nanjing City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dalian Kun City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Nanjing City - Dalian Kun City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 13th and 10th).
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Nanjing City has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:7 (averaging 0.7:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nanjing City against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Dalian K'un City
28
8
10
10
35:41
-6
34
13
Nanjing City
28
7
7
14
27:39
-12
28
Last Results with these Odds
Dalian Kun City - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.5%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.