Match Info

Yi League - Round 8

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Zengcheng Stadium (Guangzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports


	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha		Kunming City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3	4.4
	2.13	3	3.35
	2.09	3.03	3.61
	1.81	3.1	4.7
	2.17	2.98	3.31
	2.13	3	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.79)	3.02 ↓ (3.07)	3.79 ↓ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
45.4%

Draw
30.4%

Kunming City
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

29.6%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

28.6%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha's form might have worsened.

Kunming City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kunming City than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kunming City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Kunming City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kunming City (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Long Wenhao (G) 56. Ling Chuanbin 16. Cai M. 42. Chen Yuhao 55. Huang Peizhao 58. Guo Wuyue 43. Huang Yiwen 20. Fan Ruiwei 11. Ling Zheng 52. Diao Jiahao 33. Liu Jiqiang	23. Chen Anqi (G) 13. Yao Zhiyu 5. Tang Daozheng 6. Ablimit Subi 26. Bi Haoyang 8. Hu H. 11. Adiljan Qeyser 24. Song X. 42. Sun Z. 27. Yang H. 30. Zhang J.
Substitutes
23. Chen Jianlong 21. Chen Xing 51. Fan Mengtong (G) 53. Gao Wenbo 8. Jiang Weilang 5. Liang Junheng 60. Liang Yibin 3. Li Bin 47. Li Haoyu 17. Li Zhuoxuan 46. Luo Kai 39. Tan Jiajun	10. Cao Enze 47. Gong Z. 1. Hao Kesen (G) 7. Li G. 9. Tuyghun J. 3. Wang S. 4. Xue Yuxiang
Coaches
Tan E.	Weiss M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Song X. 🟨,
42', Hu H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Hu H. ↓, Cao Enze ↑,
46', Cai M. ↓, Chen Xing ↑,
46', Ling Zheng ↓, Liang Yibin ↑,
55', Liang Yibin 🟨,
55', 1 - 0, Huang Yiwen ⚽, Huang Peizhao (A),
57', Yao Zhiyu 🟨,
63', Huang Yiwen ↓, Li Haoyu ↑,
76', Zhang J. ↓, Gong Z. ↑,
76', Tang Daozheng ↓, Li G. ↑,
77', Song X. ↓, Tuyghun J. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Tuyghun J. ⚽, Sun Z. (A),
87', Chen Yuhao ↓, Tan Jiajun ↑,
87', Ling Chuanbin ↓, Li Zhuoxuan ↑,
90+3', Sun Z. ↓, Wang S. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 2, Wang S. ⚽,
90+6', Wang S. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).

Guangzhou Dandelion is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kunming City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Guangzhou Dandelion is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
Chinese Yi League
02.05.25	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Wenzhou Professional	0:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.04.25	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Nanjing City	1:0 ✺
Chinese Yi League
12.04.25	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Wuhan Three Towns B	1:0 ✺
08.04.25	Guangdong Mingtu - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LTWWW
- Kunming City FC
Chinese Yi League
02.05.25	Kunming City - Shenzhen	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Chengdu Rongcheng B - Kunming City	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Guangxi Lanhang - Kunming City	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Kunming City - Quanzhou Yassin	1:0 ✺
04.04.25	Kunming City - Ganzhou Ruishi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLWWT

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Kunming City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide