The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 41.7%
Draw 30.4%
Shenzhen 27.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.4%
29.8%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.8%
27.8%
22.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Shenzhen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shenzhen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Shenzhen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ci Henglong (G) 16. Gao K. 5. Nihmat Nihat 17. Li Zhuoxuan (C) 3. Zhang Ran 57. Wang Junyang 48. Dilyar Alamas 42. Zhang Hao 9. Lu J. 10. Shohret R. 47. Li Haoyu
43. Yuan J. (G) 45. Yuan Z. 9. Luo Kaisa 55. Huang Keqi 4. Li Mingjie 12. Yongsu Huang 8. Chen W. 6. Luan Cheng (C) 17. Shi Z. 57. Wang Ziyang 49. Jiang W.
Substitutes
59. Chen Xiaohan 2. Diao Jiahao 55. Erkin Ezimet 51. Fan Mengtong (G) 18. Hu Yanbiao 6. Liang Junheng 11. Liang Z. 54. Nasirulla Hesenjan (G) 24. Song X. 19. Tian Xiangyu 15. Wen Wubin
15. Chen Z. 29. Deng Z. 1. Hao M. (G) 44. Huang Junxuan 20. Li L. 10. Li P. 14. Liu P. (G) 27. Liu Q. 11. Lu C. 24. Pan N. 28. Wang Zhiyuan
Coaches
Uemura K.
Wang Baoshan
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Shohret R. ↓, Tian Xiangyu ↑,
33', 0 - 1, Jiang W. ⚽,
41', Dilyar Alamas 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, Lu J. ⚽,
60', Gao K. 🟨,
68', Gao K. ↓, Chen Xiaohan ↑,
68', Zhang Hao ↓, Diao Jiahao ↑,
68', Lu J. ↓, Liang Z. ↑,
74', Shi Z. ↓, Li L. ↑,
82', Li Mingjie ↓, Chen Z. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Jiang W. ⚽, Luan Cheng (A),
87', Chen Xiaohan ↓, Erkin Ezimet ↑,
90', Chen Z. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: ) and 6 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: )).
Guangzhou Dandelion is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Shenzhen has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Shenzhen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Guangzhou Dandelion will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guangzhou Dandelion won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Guangzhou Dandelion won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Watch
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Ci Henglong (G) 
Uemura K. 
