Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 11

Date: 11 July 2025, Friday


	Guarani U20		Capivariano U20

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.7
	1.62	3.65	4.55
	1.58	3.64	4.7
				Watch
	1.6	3.74	4.86
	1.81	3.41	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.85)	3.57 ↑ (3.55)	4.29 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani U20
53.7%

Draw
25.3%

Capivariano U20
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

25.2%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Capivariano U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani U20 than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capivariano U20 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Guarani U20 - Capivariano U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Joao Vitor ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Leo Porfirio (Pen),
26', 2 - 1, Kewen ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 3 - 1, Leo Porfirio ⚽,
59', Gustavo 🟥,

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Guarani U20 is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guarani U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Including home match between the teams, Guarani U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
05.07.25	Piracicaba U20 - Guarani U20	1:2 ✺
27.06.25	Guarani U20 - Osasco Sporting U20	4:1 ✺
20.06.25	Guarani U20 - Comercial Tietê U20	2:0 ✺
06.06.25	Guaratinguetá U20 - Guarani U20	2:1 ✺
30.05.25	Guarani U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLW
- Capivariano U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
04.07.25	Osasco Sporting U20 - Capivariano U20	0:0 ✺
27.06.25	Capivariano U20 - Flamengo de Guarulhos U20	3:0 ✺
20.06.25	Tanabi U20 - Capivariano U20	0:2 ✺
06.06.25	Capivariano U20 - Mauá U20	0:0 ✺
30.05.25	Capivariano U20 - Desportivo Brasil U20	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
31.05.24	Guarani U20 - Capivariano U20	4:0

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