Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 6

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Guarda FC		Machico

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.00	1.95
	3.65	3.05	1.92
	3.73	3.15	2.2
	3.59	3.16	2.01	Watch
	3.65	2.95	1.93
	3.77	3.35	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3.4)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)	1.99 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarda FC
25%

Draw
29.3%

Machico
45.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26%

28.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarda FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Machico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Guarda FC - Machico Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 13th in the Relegation and 2nd in the Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Machico holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Guarda has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:1 (averaging 1.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Guarda against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Machico	6	4	2	0	10:2	8	14
14	Guarda FC	6	0	1	5	2:7	-5	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarda FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.10.26	Sanjoanense - Guarda FC	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.09.26	Guarda FC - Chaves	2:3 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.09.26	Guarda FC - Camacha	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Guarda FC - Alpendorada	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Guarda FC - Régua	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLT
- AD Machico
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.10.26	Machico - Florgrade	4:0 ✺
13.09.26	Alpendorada - Machico	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Salgueiros 08 - Machico	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
30.08.26	Machico - Camacha	1:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.08.26	Machico - Estrela da Calheta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.03.25	Machico - Guarda FC	1:0
30.11.24	Guarda FC - Machico	3:0

Guarda FC - Machico