Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Municipal Stadium Alpendorada (Alpendorada)


	Alpendorada		Machico

	1	X	2
	2.40	2.85	2.80
	2.18	3.05	2.95
	2.74	2.64	2.72
	2.6	2.85	2.8	Watch
	2.70	2.60	2.65
	2.52	3.09	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.24)	2.85 ↓ (3.1)	2.78 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alpendorada
35.8%

Draw
31.7%

Machico
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

29.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alpendorada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alpendorada's form might have worsened.

Machico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Alpendorada - Machico Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Goudelis G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 1 - 1, ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Machico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alpendorada will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alpendorada won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Alpendorada won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Machico	4	2	2	0	5:2	3	8
11	FC Alpendorada	4	1	0	3	4:7	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.09.26	Sanjoanense - Alpendorada	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
30.08.26	Rebordosa - Alpendorada	2:3 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.08.26	Guarda FC - Alpendorada	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Alpendorada - Resende	3:4 ✺
12.04.26	Salgueiros 08 - Alpendorada	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWLW
- AD Machico
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.09.26	Salgueiros 08 - Machico	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
30.08.26	Machico - Camacha	1:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.08.26	Machico - Estrela da Calheta	0:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
18.04.26	Machico - Ribeira Brava	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Celoricense - Machico	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.03.25	Machico - Alpendorada	2:1
08.12.24	Alpendorada - Machico	2:0
19.02.23	Alpendorada - Machico	2:2
06.11.22	Machico - Alpendorada	0:0

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