Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 14

Date: 6 December 2024, Friday


	Guarnizo		Barreda Balompié

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.75	6
	1.48	3.95	5.8
	1.46	3.82	5.78
	1.5	3.97	5.97	Watch
	1.44	4.05	6.33
	1.48	3.95	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.62)	3.92 ↑ (3.75)	5.95 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Guarnizo
61.6%

Draw
23.2%

Barreda Balompié
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

24.2%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

20.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarnizo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guarnizo's performance.

Barreda Balompié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guarnizo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barreda Balompié than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barreda Balompié could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guarnizo - Barreda Balompié Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, ⚽,
81', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guarnizo won 3.

Recent matches Guarnizo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Barreda is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Guarnizo is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Guarnizo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.6:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Guarnizo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:7 (average 2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guarnizo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
01.12.24	Torina - Guarnizo	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Guarnizo - Sámano	1:2 ✺
17.11.24	Gama - Guarnizo	2:2 ✺
10.11.24	Guarnizo - Naval Reinosa	1:1 ✺
01.11.24	Atlético Mineros Reocín - Guarnizo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLTTT
- Barreda Balompié
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
30.11.24	Barreda Balompié - Vimenor	0:3 ✺
24.11.24	Barquereño - Barreda Balompié	3:1 ✺
16.11.24	Barreda Balompié - Tropezón	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Barreda Balompié - Monte	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Torina - Barreda Balompié	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
12.02.22	Guarnizo - Barreda Balompié	2:1
16.10.21	Barreda Balompié - Guarnizo	1:1
28.03.21	Barreda Balompié - Guarnizo	1:2
09.01.21	Guarnizo - Barreda Balompié	3:4
08.09.19	Guarnizo - Barreda Balompié	2:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
30.03.18	Guarnizo - Barreda Balompié	1:2
01.11.17	Barreda Balompié - Guarnizo	2:0

Guarnizo - Barreda Balompié: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide