Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 14

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Guarnizo		Torina

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.95	2.7
	2.4	3	2.85
	2.52	2.85	2.79
	2.52	2.85	2.79
	2.43	3	2.8
	2.4	3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.81)	2.94 ↓ (3.2)	2.8 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarnizo
37%

Draw
30.7%

Torina
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

28.4%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

28.1%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarnizo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Torina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torina than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guarnizo won 2.

Guarnizo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Torina is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Guarnizo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Guarnizo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guarnizo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
02.12.23	Siete Villas - Guarnizo	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Guarnizo - Atlético Mineros Reocín	0:1 ✺
18.11.23	Colindres - Guarnizo	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Guarnizo - Revilla	4:1 ✺
04.11.23	Bezana - Guarnizo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTWL
- SD Torina
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
02.12.23	Torina - Cartes	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Tropezón - Torina	0:1 ✺
18.11.23	Torina - Solares-Medio Cudeyo	3:2 ✺
11.11.23	Escobedo - Torina	3:1 ✺
05.11.23	Torina - Vimenor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
07.04.23	Guarnizo - Torina	0:2
10.12.22	Torina - Guarnizo	0:1
02.04.22	Guarnizo - Torina	1:1
04.12.21	Torina - Guarnizo	2:0
07.02.21	Guarnizo - Torina	2:0
31.08.19	Torina - Guarnizo	4:1
12.01.19	Guarnizo - Torina	0:1

Guarnizo - Torina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide