Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 34

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Bezana		Guarnizo

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.25	1.88
	5.84	1.33	6.37	Watch
	4	3	1.85
	4.14	3.2	1.83
	3.45	3.3	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↑ (3.45)	2.82 ↓ (3.3)	2.78 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bezana
24.9%

Draw
37.3%

Guarnizo
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

27.6%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

27.3%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bezana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Guarnizo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guarnizo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bezana than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guarnizo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bezana - Guarnizo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Salinas Viadero A. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bezana won 2.

Bezana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guarnizo is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Guarnizo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Guarnizo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bezana won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bezana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bezana	5	5	0	0	11:3	8	15
13	Guarnizo	5	1	1	3	6:9	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Bezana
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
26.04.26	Bezana - Selaya	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Laredo - Bezana	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Bezana - Atlético Albericia	2:3 ✺
02.04.26	Bezana - Torina	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Barquereño - Bezana	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LTLWW
- CD Guarnizo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
18.04.26	Guarnizo - Noja	4:1 ✺
12.04.26	Castro - Guarnizo	0:1 ✺
02.04.26	Guarnizo - Cayón	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Montañas del Pas - Guarnizo	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Guarnizo - Escobedo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
10.01.26	Guarnizo - Bezana	0:0
19.10.24	Bezana - Guarnizo	0:1
23.03.24	Guarnizo - Bezana	0:2
04.11.23	Bezana - Guarnizo	1:0
11.04.21	Guarnizo - Bezana	1:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
15.10.17	Guarnizo - Bezana	0:1

Bezana - Guarnizo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide