Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group G - Round 15

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday


	Guidonia Montecelio		Puteolana

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	2.95
	2.23	3.1	3.05
	2.21	3.17	3.13	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.21	3.08	3.11
	2.23	3.1	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.91)	3.09 ↓ (3.09)	3.07 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guidonia Montecelio
41.1%

Draw
29.3%

Puteolana
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

29.4%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

29.4%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guidonia Montecelio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guidonia Montecelio's performance.

Puteolana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Puteolana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guidonia Montecelio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puteolana than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puteolana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guidonia Montecelio - Puteolana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Spinosa M. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Coniglio F. ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, Cali A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 3 - 1, Calzone S. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC
Coppa Italia Serie D
04.12.24	Guidonia Montecelio - L Aquila	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group G
24.11.24	Anzio - Guidonia Montecelio	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
20.11.24	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Guidonia Montecelio	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group G
10.11.24	Latte Dolce - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1 ✺
23.10.24	Guidonia Montecelio - Terracina	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWLW
- ASD Puteolana 1902
Italian Serie D - Group G
01.12.24	Puteolana - Anzio	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Puteolana - Ilvamaddalena	4:1 ✺
10.11.24	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Puteolana	0:3 ✺
02.11.24	Puteolana - Latte Dolce	3:2 ✺
23.10.24	Puteolana - Atletico Uri	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW

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