Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade de Roudourou (Guingamp)

Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 7
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Guingamp		Nantes

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.4	Watch
	2.75	3.40	2.40
	2.75	3.1	2.45	Watch
	2.97	3.4	2.55
	2.72	3.36	2.51	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.5
	2.86	3.13	2.5	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (2.88)	3.22 ↓ (3.37)	2.47 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guingamp
33.2%

Draw
29%

Nantes
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

27.7%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Guingamp - Nantes Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Nantes will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Ortola A. (G) 3. Matumona J. 7. Gomis D. 36. Demouchy A. 39. Muntu Wa Mungu V. 11. Averlant T. 21. Ahile T. 4. Louiserre D. (C) 20. Ben Brahim S. 18. Kielt S. 8. Sanchez Da Silva F.	1. Dupe M. (G) 24. Guilbert F. (C) 5. Perrin L. 4. Sow S. 98. Amian K. 28. Sissoko I. 17. Tabibou D. 23. Younoussa W. 8. Lepenant J. 20. Cafaro M. 11. Guirassy H.
Substitutes
38. Aucan E. 1. Bartouche-Selbonne T. (G) 23. Chamakh J. 24. Dianganga J. 25. Ducrocq T. 35. Fondja N. 2. Koffi E. 5. Ollila T. 17. Samoura A.	52. Deuff B. 67. Gomes M. 26. Hachem R. 7. Joujou A. 49. Kone J. 19. Leroux L. 16. Mirbach A. (G) 78. Tati T. 69. Ziani S.
Coaches
Ripoll S.	Der Zakarian M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Ben Brahim S. ⚽, Matumona J. (A),
15', 2 - 0, Gomis D. ⚽, Averlant T. (A),
22', 2 - 1, Younoussa W. ⚽, Guirassy H. (A),
33', Guilbert F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 2 - 2, Younoussa W. ⚽,
58', Kielt S. ↓, Samoura A. ↑,
58', Muntu Wa Mungu V. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
59', Sanchez Da Silva F. ↓, Ducrocq T. ↑,
68', Matumona J. ↓, Koffi E. ↑,
68', Averlant T. ↓, Chamakh J. ↑,
71', Younoussa W. ↓, Hachem R. ↑,
79', Tabibou D. ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
85', 2 - 3, Joujou A. ⚽, Perrin L. (A),
88', Cafaro M. ↓, Leroux L. ↑,
88', Guilbert F. ↓, Gomes M. ↑,
90+8', Louiserre D. (Penalty Awarded),
90+8', 3 - 3, Gomis D. ⚽,
90+8', Gomis D. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 2.

Nantes is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nantes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Guingamp: Matondo J. (Inactive) N'Landu D. (Knee Injury) Ott G. (Knee Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive)

There will not play in Nantes: Ali Youssef (Inactive) Benhattab Y. (Inactive) Centonze F. (Injury) Doucoure S. (Inactive) Ganago I. (Inactive) Gomes M. (Inactive) Mongo E. (Inactive) Mostafa Mohamed (Inactive) Ziani S. (Inactive)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Nantes: 4.55% Guingamp: 2.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10:12	-2	8
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	9:13	-4	7

Last Results with these Odds

Guingamp - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.41%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
21.08.26	Sochaux - Guingamp	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Guingamp - Boulogne	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Metz - Guingamp	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Rennes - Guingamp	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
09.05.26	Clermont - Guingamp	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL
- FC Nantes
French Ligue 2
22.08.26	Nantes - Rodez	2:5 ✺
14.08.26	Laval - Nantes	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Nantes - Red Star	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Nantes - Al-Wakrah	5:1 ✺
25.07.26	Le Mans - Nantes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.07.25	Nantes - Guingamp	1:2
13.07.22	Nantes - Guingamp	0:1
French Ligue 1
03.03.19	Guingamp - Nantes	0:0
04.11.18	Nantes - Guingamp	5:0
27.01.18	Guingamp - Nantes	0:3
21.10.17	Nantes - Guingamp	2:1
14.05.17	Nantes - Guingamp	4:1

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