Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 4

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday


	Guiseley		Bury

	1	X	2
	2.90	3.30	2.10
	3	3.25	2.08
	3	3.47	2.07
	3.08	3.6	2.14	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.02
	3.05	3.42	2.08
	3	3.3	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.08)	3.39 ↓ (3.6)	2.08 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guiseley
30.1%

Draw
26.6%

Bury
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

26%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

25.6%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guiseley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Bury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bury than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Guiseley - Bury Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Pedro D. ⚽,
7', 0 - 2, Evans K. ⚽,
27', 1 - 2, Martin A. ⚽,
33', 2 - 2, Martin A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 3 - 2, Thewlis J. ⚽,

Preview

Guiseley is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bury is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Guiseley has had a series of away games.

Recently, Bury has had a series of home games.

Bury is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Guiseley	11	7	1	3	24:11	13	22
10	Bury	10	5	1	4	19:9	10	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guiseley
English NPL Premier Division
15.08.26	Workington - Guiseley	2:2 ✺
11.08.26	Whitby Town - Guiseley	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Pontefract Collieries - Guiseley	1:3 ✺
21.07.26	Garforth - Guiseley	0:1 ✺
17.07.26	Guiseley - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWWW
- Bury FC
English NPL Premier Division
15.08.26	Bury - Warrington Rylands	1:0 ✺
11.08.26	Bury - Curzon Ashton	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Bury - Radcliffe	3:1 ✺
28.07.26	Accrington Stanley - Bury	1:0 ✺
21.07.26	Bury - Wigan Athletic U21	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWLW

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