Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 3

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday


	Workington		Guiseley

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.10	2.30
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	2.76	3.31	2.34
	2.8	3.39	2.4	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.16
	2.96	3.24	2.2
	2.85	3.2	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.55)	3.23 ↓ (3.4)	2.28 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Workington
32.1%

Draw
28%

Guiseley
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

27.3%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Workington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Guiseley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Workington - Guiseley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Martin A. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Wilson C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 1 - 2, Douglas M. ⚽,
86', 2 - 2, Hunter L. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Workington won 1.

Guiseley is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Workington won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Workington won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Guiseley	11	7	1	3	24:11	13	22
5	Workington	12	6	3	3	23:19	4	21

Last Results with these Odds

Workington - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.36%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Guiseley - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.36%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Workington
English NPL Premier Division
11.08.26	Workington - Redcar Athletic	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Barrow - Workington	2:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
25.04.26	Workington - Leek Town	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Warrington Town - Workington	2:3 ✺
11.04.26	Ashton United - Workington	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWL
- Guiseley
English NPL Premier Division
11.08.26	Whitby Town - Guiseley	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Pontefract Collieries - Guiseley	1:3 ✺
21.07.26	Garforth - Guiseley	0:1 ✺
17.07.26	Guiseley - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Guiseley - Harrogate Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
07.03.26	Guiseley - Workington	1:1
18.11.25	Workington - Guiseley	0:1
04.01.25	Workington - Guiseley	0:2
10.08.24	Guiseley - Workington	2:0
27.04.24	Workington - Guiseley	2:1
11.11.23	Guiseley - Workington	4:3
English National League North
21.04.14	Workington - Guiseley	1:1

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