Match Info

League Two - Round 15

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Guiyang Olympic Sports Center (Guiyang)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic		Jiangxi Lushan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.20	4.33
	1.75	3.15	4.55
	1.77	3.13	4.52
	1.77	3.29	4.56	Watch
	1.73	3.05	4.4
	1.73	3.15	4.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.76)	3.16 ↓ (3.35)	4.54 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guizhou Guiyang Athletic
51.6%

Draw
28.5%

Jiangxi Lushan
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

27.3%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

26.5%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guizhou Guiyang Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guizhou Guiyang Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Jiangxi Lushan aligns with the current prediction.

Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Jiangxi Lushan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Yan H. (G) 17. Zheng Shengxiong 27. Zhang Wentao (C) 33. Feng Yifan 25. Ma Chongchong 21. Hu Mingtian 22. Kong Yinquan 32. Wang Haozhi 15. Abduklim Merdanjan 11. Liao Chongjiu 7. Liu Yujie	12. Li Chen (G) 16. Chen Yunhua 18. Yang Pengju 5. Shi Jiwei 22. Li Jiahao 30. Huang J. 33. Guo Song 27. Zhang Yanjun (C) 26. Pi Ziyang 14. Zhou Jingxiang 7. Sun Yue
Substitutes
44. Cai Zhuohao 10. Chen Chenzhenyang 23. Chen J. (G) 28. Chen Long 41. Jinghang Z. 57. Li Xi'nan 42. Luo Wenqi 8. Sun Enming 29. Xu Jiajun 37. Yang Youxian 3. Zhao Jianbo 20. Zhou Z.	10. Abdusalam S. 11. Bai Zijian 8. Cao Enze 2. He Quan 19. Jiang H. 1. Liang J. (G) 6. Liu G. 24. Li Yan 35. Ren Y. 37. Wang Haisheng 3. Wang Hongbin 4. Zhang G.
Coaches
Moragas E.	Choi Jin-han

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', Abduklim Merdanjan ↓, Sun Enming ↑,
45', 0 - 1, Sun Yue ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pi Ziyang ↓, Wang Haisheng ↑,
46', Guo Song ↓, Li Yan ↑,
46', Liao Chongjiu ↓, Chen Long ↑,
46', Zheng Shengxiong ↓, Yang Youxian ↑,
63', Kong Yinquan 🟨,
73', Liu Yujie ↓, Zhao Jianbo ↑,
73', Wang Haozhi ↓, Li Xi'nan ↑,
75', Li Yan 🟨,
78', Huang J. 🟨,
78', Zhou Jingxiang ↓, Zhang G. ↑,
78', Li Jiahao ↓, Jiang H. ↑,
81', Chen Long 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, Sun Enming ⚽, Kong Yinquan (A),
89', 1 - 2, Chen Yunhua ⚽, Zhang G. (A),
90+3', Sun Yue ↓, Cao Enze ↑,
90+4', Zhao Jianbo 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: ) and 6 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: )).

Guizhou Guiyang is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jiangxi Lushan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jiangxi Lushan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Jiangxi Lushan has had a series of home games.

In this match, Guizhou Guiyang is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guizhou Guiyang won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Guizhou Guiyang	25	14	3	8	34:20	14	45
7	Jiangxi Lushan	25	11	5	9	27:22	5	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guizhou Guiyang Athletic
Chinese Yi League
27.06.26	Hubei Istar - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Guangdong Mingtu - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	0:0 ✺
19.06.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Xiamen Feilu	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	2:0 ✺
26.05.26	Chengdu Rongcheng B - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWWW
- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Yi League
28.06.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Ganzhou Ruishi	0:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:2 ✺
Chinese Yi League
13.06.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Chengdu Rongcheng B	1:0 ✺
27.05.26	Xiamen Feilu - Jiangxi Lushan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
14.04.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	2:0

Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Jiangxi Lushan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide