Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA BAYERN SÜD - ROUND 11

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday


	Gundelfingen		Garching

	1	X	2
	1.66	4	4
	1.71	4.07	4.15
	1.67	4.1	4.15
	1.66	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.72)	4.04 ↑ (3.75)	4.08 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gundelfingen
54.8%

Draw
22.7%

Garching
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

24.1%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

19.2%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gundelfingen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Garching has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gundelfingen than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gundelfingen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garching than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Garching could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Oberliga Bayern ~ Relegation).

Gundelfingen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Garching has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Garching could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gundelfingen is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gundelfingen won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Gundelfingen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gundelfingen
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
09.09.23	Sonthofen - Gundelfingen	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Gundelfingen - Kirchanschöring	2:2 ✺
25.08.23	Erlbach - Gundelfingen	3:1 ✺
18.08.23	Gundelfingen - Rain am Lech	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Schwaben Augsburg - Gundelfingen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LTLTL
- VfR Garching
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
10.09.23	Garching - Pipinsried	0:1 ✺
01.09.23	Heimstetten - Garching	4:1 ✺
25.08.23	Garching - Ismaning	1:2 ✺
19.08.23	TSV Kottern - Garching	4:1 ✺
13.08.23	Sonthofen - Garching	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Süd
15.04.23	Gundelfingen - Garching	0:3
11.09.22	Garching - Gundelfingen	0:0
23.04.22	Gundelfingen - Garching	4:0
26.09.21	Garching - Gundelfingen	1:1

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