Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Norra Svealand - Round 13

Date: 20 June 2024, Thursday


	Gute		Arlanda

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.75	1.83
	3.4	4	1.85
	3.15	3.77	1.91
	3.15	3.77	1.92
	3.45	3.94	1.81
	3.4	4	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↓ (3.39)	3.87 ↑ (3.71)	1.86 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gute
27.6%

Draw
23.5%

Arlanda
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

24.1%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

23.4%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gute has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Arlanda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gute than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arlanda than the current prediction. (+2%)

Gute - Arlanda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Hodin E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Ernstrom A. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Gute is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arlanda is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arlanda will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gute won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Gute won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gute
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
15.06.24	Kungsängen - Gute	2:1 ✺
08.06.24	Farsta - Gute	3:1 ✺
01.06.24	Gute - Österåker United	1:2 ✺
25.05.24	Järfälla - Gute	0:3 ✺
18.05.24	Gute - Sandvikens AIK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLLWW
- FC Arlanda
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
15.06.24	Arlanda - Enköping	4:1 ✺
09.06.24	Kungsängen - Arlanda	2:3 ✺
02.06.24	Arlanda - Farsta	4:4 ✺
26.05.24	Österåker United - Arlanda	0:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
22.05.24	Enskede - Arlanda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
26.08.23	Gute - Arlanda	4:0
29.04.23	Arlanda - Gute	1:1
03.10.21	Gute - Arlanda	3:2
03.07.21	Arlanda - Gute	1:2

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