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Current Win Probability
Arlanda 56.1%
Draw 22.3%
Enköping 21.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.9%
25.1%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.7%
26.6%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arlanda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arlanda's performance.
Enköping has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Enköping might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arlanda than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arlanda that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Enköping than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Arlanda - Enköping Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Smedberg Lagh A. (G) 15. Antholm I. 22. Butros M. 10. Charbachi A. 3. Fredricson H. 27. Johansson E. 21. Kleist L. 2. Norberg C. 7. Rehman S. 19. Rydz S. 8. Yemane Y. (C)
32. Astor V. (G) 6. Belouchi M. 40. Braholm I. (C) 15. Ededal F. 20. Faye E. 3. Hadell M. 10. Noori H. 23. Norrlin H. 12. Nwafor L. 22. Seidouvy N. 17. Sveijer A.
Substitutes
11. Ahmed M. 5. Bergstedt O. 18. Carlsson J. 16. Drugge J. 14. Hansen A. 30. Karo A. (G) 12. Nyman L.
2. Bjork W. 21. Gard V. 1. Kvist T. (G) 5. Lundgren A. 50. Navarrete Hultberg A. 14. Persson-Njie A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
42', Charbachi A. ↓, Drugge J. ↑,
44', 1 - 0, Antholm I. ⚽, Kleist L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Nwafor L. 🟨,
63', Fredricson H. 🟨,
73', Rehman S. ↓, Nyman L. ↑,
73', Butros M. ↓, Carlsson J. ↑,
81', Norberg C. 🟨,
81', Belouchi M. 🟨,
83', 2 - 0, Yemane Y. ⚽,
85', Antholm I. ↓, Hansen A. ↑,
85', Rydz S. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,
88', Braholm I. ↓, Persson-Njie A. ↑,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 4th and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arlanda won 5.
In recent outings, Arlanda has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Enköping shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Arlanda may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Arlanda holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Arlanda has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 21:10 (averaging 3:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Arlanda against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 7:3 goals (averaging 2.3:1 per game).