Match Info

K League 2 - Round 8

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Changwon Football Centre Stadium (Changwon)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Gyeongnam		Suwon Bluewings

	1	X	2
	5	3.5	1.65	Watch
	4.65	3.65	1.65
	5.53	3.67	1.69
	4.97	3.95	1.64	Watch
	5	3.4	1.62
	5.07	3.6	1.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.04 ↓ (5.05)	3.63 ↓ (4.04)	1.64 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gyeongnam
18.3%

Draw
25.4%

Suwon Bluewings
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

22.7%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

22.1%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gyeongnam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Suwon Bluewings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gyeongnam than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon Bluewings than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Gyeongnam - Suwon Bluewings Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Lee Bum-Soo (G) 22. Kim Hyeong-Won 20. Lee Gyu-Baeg 26. Choi Jung-Won 27. Son Ho-Jun 77. Kim Ha-min 23. Kwon Gi-Pyo 44. Kim Jung-Hyeon 2. Bae Hyun-Seo 10. Mbah C. 90. Kim Hyeon-oh	30. Kim J. (G) 11. Lee Jun-Jae 20. Hong Jeong-Ho 5. Ko Jong-hyun 23. Kim Min-Woo 58. Bruno Costa 14. Jung Ho-yeon 16. Park Hyun-Bin 99. Kim Do-yeon 10. Reis 77. Kim Ji-Hyun
Substitutes
4. Choi Seong-Jin 21. Cho Jin-Hyuk 66. Cho Sang-Jun 3. Cho Woo-young 9. Darnlei 18. Kim Seon-Ho 8. Lee Chan-Dong 13. Lee Ki-Hyun (G) 39. Lucao	9. Ilyuchenko S. 32. Jeong Dong-yun 17. Kang Hyun-Muk 1. Kim Min-Jun (G) 19. Kim Seong-Ju 24. Ko Seung-Beom 27. Lee Geon-hee 3. Mo Kyung-bin 91. Park Ji-Won
Coaches
Bae Sung-jae .	Lee Jung-Hyo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Kim Ha-min 🟨,
45+3', Park Hyun-Bin 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kwon Gi-Pyo ↓, Cho Jin-Hyuk ↑,
52', Kim Hyeon-oh 🟨,
52', Reis 🟨,
58', Mbah C. ↓, Cho Sang-Jun ↑,
64', Kim Do-yeon ↓, Park Ji-Won ↑,
64', Bruno Costa ↓, Ilyuchenko S. ↑,
64', Park Hyun-Bin ↓, Ko Seung-Beom ↑,
71', Cho Jin-Hyuk ↓, Darnlei ↑,
76', Lee Jun-Jae ↓, Lee Geon-hee ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Park Ji-Won ⚽,
86', Reis ↓, Kang Hyun-Muk ↑,
88', Kim Hyeon-oh ↓, Lucao ↑,
88', Lee Gyu-Baeg ↓, Choi Seong-Jin ↑,
90+6', Kim Jung-Hyeon 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gyeongnam won 1.

In recent matches, Gyeongnam has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Suwon Bluewings is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Suwon Bluewings may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Suwon Bluewings is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gyeongnam won 3 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Gyeongnam won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	25	16	5	4	39:20	19	53
9	Gyeongnam	25	8	10	7	31:30	1	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gyeongnam FC
South Korean K-League 2
04.04.26	Gyeongnam - Busan I Park	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Ansan Greeners - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Gyeongnam - Gimpo	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Gyeongnam - Cheongju	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Seoul E-Land - Gyeongnam	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTWTL
- Suwon Bluewings
South Korean K-League 2
12.04.26	Suwon Bluewings - Gimpo	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Suwon Bluewings - Cheongju	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Yongin - Suwon Bluewings	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Gimhae - Suwon Bluewings	0:3 ✺
14.03.26	Suwon Bluewings - Jeonnam Dragons	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
20.09.25	Suwon Bluewings - Gyeongnam	1:2
22.06.25	Gyeongnam - Suwon Bluewings	1:3
06.04.25	Suwon Bluewings - Gyeongnam	4:0
28.09.24	Gyeongnam - Suwon Bluewings	1:1
15.06.24	Gyeongnam - Suwon Bluewings	0:0
28.04.24	Suwon Bluewings - Gyeongnam	1:1
South Korean K-League 1
19.10.19	Suwon Bluewings - Gyeongnam	2:1

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