Match Info

K League 2 - Round 15

Date: 7 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Changwon Football Centre Stadium (Changwon)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Gyeongnam		Hwaseong

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	2.88	Watch
	2.15	3.3	2.85
	2.25	3.4	2.88
	2.33	3.69	2.9
	2.3	3.5	2.9	Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.9
	2.26	3.55	2.9	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 (2.25)	3.44 ↑ (3.25)	2.89 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gyeongnam
41.1%

Draw
26.9%

Hwaseong
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

27.7%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

26.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gyeongnam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Hwaseong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gyeongnam than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Gyeongnam - Hwaseong Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gyeongnam will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Hwaseong will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gyeongnam: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gyeongnam will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Choe Pil-Soo (G) 17. Lee Jun-Jae 15. Woo Ju-Seong 2. Park Jae-Hwan 33. Park Won-Jae (C) 16. Lee Kang-Hee 88. Renan Areias 21. Lee Si-Heon 29. Park Gi-Hyun 9. Leonardo Kalil 24. Cho Young-Kwang	1. Kim S. (G) 17. Lim C. 15. Vojnovic A. 44. Ham Sun-Woo 3. Cho Dong-Jae 8. Jeon S. 6. Choi Jun-Hyeok (C) 27. Baek Seung-Woo 2. Kim D. 41. Kim B. 10. Luan Costa
Substitutes
8. Do Dong-Hyeon 63. Han Suk-Jong 3. Lee Gyu-Baeg 90. Lee Jung-Min 11. Park Min-Seo 51. Ryu Won-Woo (G) 7. Song Si-Woo	16. Choi Myung-Hee 53. Dimitri 13. Lee Ki-Hyun (G) 20. Park Jun-seo 9. Park Ju-yeong 5. Woo J. 4. Yeon Jei-Min
Coaches
Lee E.	Cha Du-Ri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Cho Dong-Jae 🟨,
6', Kim Byung-Oh 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Lim C. ⚽, Luan Costa (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lee Si-Heon ↓, Song Si-Woo ↑,
46', Cho Young-Kwang ↓, Park Min-Seo ↑,
48', Leonardo Kalil 🟨,
54', Renan Areias 🟨,
58', Park Won-Jae 🟨,
67', Cho Dong-Jae ↓, Park Jun-seo ↑,
67', Ham Sun-Woo ↓, Dimitri ↑,
74', Renan Areias ↓, Do Dong-Hyeon ↑,
76', Jeon S. 🟨,
80', Jeon S. ↓, Choi Myung-Hee ↑,
80', Park Jae-Hwan ↓, Lee Jung-Min ↑,
80', Park Gi-Hyun ↓, Lee Gyu-Baeg ↑,
80', Luan Costa ↓, Woo J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 13).

Gyeongnam has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hwaseong is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gyeongnam won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Gyeongnam won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Gyeongnam - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.07%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gyeongnam FC
South Korean K-League 2
31.05.25	Cheongju - Gyeongnam	1:2 ✺
24.05.25	Gyeongnam - Cheonan City	3:1 ✺
17.05.25	Gyeongnam - Chungnam Asan	1:3 ✺
10.05.25	Gyeongnam - Bucheon	0:3 ✺
04.05.25	Ansan Greeners - Gyeongnam	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLLL
- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K-League 2
31.05.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Hwaseong	3:2 ✺
24.05.25	Hwaseong - Seoul E-Land	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Bucheon - Hwaseong	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Gimpo - Hwaseong	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Hwaseong - Cheonan City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
08.03.25	Hwaseong - Gyeongnam	1:1
South Korean Cup
03.07.19	Gyeongnam - Hwaseong	1:2
29.03.17	Hwaseong - Gyeongnam	0:1

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