Match Info

Date: 4 May 2022, Wednesday


	Gyirmót		Paksi SE

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.8	2
	2.95	3.8	2.05
	3.2	3.8	1.97
	3.1	3.7	2
	3.32	3.97	2.03
	3.1	3.5	2.05
	3.15	3.88	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (4.53)	3.78 ↓ (4.05)	2.02 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gyirmót
29.3%

Draw
24.6%

Paksi SE
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

22.8%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

22.8%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gyirmót has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gyirmót's performance.

Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paksi SE might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gyirmót than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gyirmót that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paksi SE could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	15%	45%

Gyirmót - Paksi SE Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Gyirmót will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Paks will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paks: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Gyirmót is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Paksi SE is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paksi SE could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Paksi SE have a series of home games.

Paksi SE will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gyirmót won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Gyirmót won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gyirmót
Hungarian NB I
01.05.22	Ujpest - Gyirmót	2:2 ✺
24.04.22	Gyirmót - Budapest Honved	1:1 ✺
15.04.22	Debreceni - Gyirmót	3:1 ✺
09.04.22	Gyirmót - Puskás Academy	1:1 ✺
01.04.22	Mezőkövesd-Zsóry - Gyirmót	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTLTL
- Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I
29.04.22	Paksi SE - Ferencvárosi	1:2 ✺
23.04.22	Zalaegerszegi TE - Paksi SE	2:3 ✺
Hungarian Cup
19.04.22	Paksi SE - Ujpest	3:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
16.04.22	Paksi SE - MTK Budapest	4:0 ✺
10.04.22	Paksi SE - Ujpest	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
12.02.22	Paksi SE - Gyirmót	2:3
16.10.21	Gyirmót - Paksi SE	2:1
13.05.17	Paksi SE - Gyirmót	3:0
18.02.17	Gyirmót - Paksi SE	0:0
17.09.16	Paksi SE - Gyirmót	0:0

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