Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Gévora		Azuaga

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.15	2.08
	25.00	7.86	1.07	Watch
	3.32	3.2	2.05
	2.84	3.3	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.58 ↑ (2.88)	4.38 ↑ (3.3)	1.87 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gévora
13.2%

Draw
25.9%

Azuaga
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

27.6%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

26.7%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gévora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gévora's form might have worsened.

Azuaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Azuaga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gévora than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gévora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azuaga than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Azuaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gévora - Azuaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Josito ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', 1 - 1, ⚽,
79', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

Gévora has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Azuaga is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Azuaga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Azuaga has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Gévora
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
26.10.25	Gévora - Jerez	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Calamonte - Gévora	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Gévora - Puebla de la Calzada	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Jaraíz - Gévora	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Gévora - Montehermoso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWTLW
- CD Azuaga
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Azuaga - Leganés	1:4 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
26.10.25	Azuaga - Calamonte	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Azuaga	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Azuaga - Jaraíz	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Azuaga - Llerenense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWTW

Gévora - Azuaga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide