Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 29

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Górnik 2 Zabrze		Lechia Zielona Góra

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.45	2.68
	2.18	3.63	2.65
	2.21	3.75	2.67	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.7
	2.22	3.82	2.71	Watch
	2.63	3.4	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.26)	3.56 ↑ (3.41)	2.61 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik 2 Zabrze
39.8%

Draw
25.5%

Lechia Zielona Góra
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

26%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

26.1%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik 2 Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Lechia Zielona Góra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik 2 Zabrze than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Górnik 2 Zabrze - Lechia Zielona Góra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Aleksandrowicz M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 0 - 2, Majchrzak F. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik 2 won 2.

Górnik 2 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zielona Góra has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Zielona Góra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Zielona Góra has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Górnik 2 won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:12. (average 2.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Górnik 2 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:1. (average 2.6:0.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Górnik 2 Zabrze - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 39.18%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Lechia Zielona Góra - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 34.86%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik 2 Zabrze
Polish Division 3 - Group III
18.04.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Górnik 2 Zabrze	0:5 ✺
10.04.26	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	3:1 ✺
02.04.26	Sparta Katowice - Górnik 2 Zabrze	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Słowianin Wolibórz	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.03.26	Górnik Zabrze - Górnik 2 Zabrze	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWTL
- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
25.04.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Sparta Katowice	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Miedź Legnica 2 - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Słowianin Wolibórz	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Carina Gubin	0:0 ✺
01.04.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
10.10.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Górnik 2 Zabrze	3:0
17.05.25	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Lechia Zielona Góra	3:0
19.10.24	Lechia Zielona Góra - Górnik 2 Zabrze	2:1
11.05.24	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:0
25.10.23	Lechia Zielona Góra - Górnik 2 Zabrze	2:1
26.03.23	Lechia Zielona Góra - Górnik 2 Zabrze	0:4
21.08.22	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Lechia Zielona Góra	3:1

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