Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 28

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Lechia Zielona Góra		Sparta Katowice

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.65	4.15
	1.67	3.83	4.26	Watch
	1.65	3.7	4.47	Watch
	1.56	4	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.56)	3.8 ↓ (4)	4.25 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Zielona Góra
55%

Draw
23.8%

Sparta Katowice
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

22%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

20.4%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Zielona Góra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Sparta Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lechia Zielona Góra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Katowice than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Lechia Zielona Góra - Sparta Katowice Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zielona Góra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 5).

Zielona Góra has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sparta Katowice's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Zielona Góra is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zielona Góra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	BKS Sparta Katowice	11	7	3	1	19:7	12	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
18.04.26	Miedź Legnica 2 - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Słowianin Wolibórz	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Carina Gubin	0:0 ✺
01.04.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	5:0 ✺
29.03.26	Ślęza Wrocław - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLTWT
- Sparta Katowice
Polish Division 3 - Group III
18.04.26	Sparta Katowice - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Kluczbork - Sparta Katowice	1:0 ✺
02.04.26	Sparta Katowice - Górnik 2 Zabrze	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Sparta Katowice	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Sparta Katowice - Ślęza Wrocław	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
04.10.25	Sparta Katowice - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:0

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