Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 4

Date: 8 August 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla (Zabrze)

Referee: Arys K. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Górnik Zabrze		Termalica Nieciecza

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.9	4	Watch
	1.82	3.7	4
	1.82	3.65	3.85	Watch
	1.81	3.96	4.26
	3.16	3.23	2.29	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.9
	1.86	3.96	3.91	Watch
	1.76	3.6	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.74)	3.68 ↑ (3.65)	3.83 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Zabrze
48.7%

Draw
26.2%

Termalica Nieciecza
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

25.4%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

24.5%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Zabrze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Górnik Zabrze, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	9.5%	4.8%

Górnik Zabrze - Termalica Nieciecza Predictions

Users Predictions: Górnik Zabrze will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Górnik Zabrze will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lubik M. (G) 16. Olkowski P. 26. Janicki R. 20. Josema 64. Janza E. (C) 18. Ambros L. 8. Hellebrand P. 14. Kubicki J. 11. Ismaheel T. 15. Massimo R. 74. Tsirigotis T.	99. Mleczko M. (G) 29. Isik G. 2. Kopacz B. 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 27. Boboc R. 13. Kubica K. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 6. Wolski M. 53. Trubeha A. (C) 7. Fassbender M. 9. Jimenez J.
Substitutes
28. Donio B. 19. Dziegielewski N. 79. Goh Young-Jun 81. Kmet M. 23. Liseth S. 99. Loska T. (G) 17. Lukoszek K. 55. Pingot M. 10. Podolski L. 30. Sow O. 27. Szala D. 5. Szczesniak K.	17. Biniek D. 1. Chovan A. (G) 35. Deisadze D. 21. Hilbrycht D. 26. Jakubik W. 8. Kurzawa R. 5. Masoero L. 23. Mini 77. Putivtsev A. 86. Strzalek I.
Coaches
Gasparik M.	Brosz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Hellebrand P. 🟨,
26', Kubica K. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Fassbender M. ⚽, Wolski M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Trubeha A. ↓, Strzalek I. ↑,
57', Jimenez J. ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
63', Massimo R. ↓, Sow O. ↑,
63', Olkowski P. ↓, Kmet M. ↑,
67', Boboc R. ↓, Hilbrycht D. ↑,
67', Kubica K. ↓, Mini ↑,
70', Tsirigotis T. ↓, Podolski L. ↑,
76', Kasperkiewicz A. ↓, Masoero L. ↑,
77', Mini 🟨,
80', Hilbrycht D. 🟨,
85', Janicki R. ↓, Szczesniak K. ↑,
85', Kubicki J. ↓, Dziegielewski N. ↑,
88', Podolski L. 🟨,
90+2', Janicki R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Górnik Zabrze has had a series of away games.

In this match, Górnik Zabrze is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Sacek M. (Leg Injury) Zahovic L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Termalica: Zapolnik K. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Zabrze won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.08.25	Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Piast Gliwice - Górnik Zabrze	0:1 ✺
20.07.25	Górnik Zabrze - Lechia Gdańsk	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Karviná - Górnik Zabrze	0:1 ✺
08.07.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Górnik Zabrze	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWWL
- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.08.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Pogoń Szczecin	1:1 ✺
25.07.25	Cracovia - Termalica Nieciecza	2:0 ✺
18.07.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Termalica Nieciecza	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
02.07.25	Termalica Nieciecza - ŁKS Łódź	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	Raków Częstochowa - Termalica Nieciecza	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
20.03.22	Górnik Zabrze - Termalica Nieciecza	1:1
26.09.21	Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Zabrze	3:1
19.02.18	Górnik Zabrze - Termalica Nieciecza	3:0
10.09.17	Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Zabrze	1:2
Club Friendly
29.06.16	Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Zabrze	1:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
14.05.16	Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Zabrze	1:1
12.12.15	Górnik Zabrze - Termalica Nieciecza	0:0

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