Match Info

Super Cup - Final

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadion Poznan (Poznań)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Lech Poznań		Górnik Zabrze

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.70	3.25
	2.00	3.60	3.30
	1.85	3.40	3.55
	2.03	3.62	3.79
	1.9	3.8	3.82	Watch
	2.00	3.40	3.75
	2.00	3.87	3.40	Watch
	2.02	3.50	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.92)	3.61 ↑ (3.25)	3.53 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań
47.6%

Draw
25.9%

Górnik Zabrze
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

28%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lis M. (G) 2. Pereira J. 27. Monka W. 59. Yegbe T. 15. Gurgul M. 21. Rodriguez P. 22. Murawski R. 43. Kozubal A. 10. Walemark P. 9. Ishak M. (C) 77. Palma L.	1. Schulze P. (G) 26. Janicki R. 61. Sacek M. 20. Josema 64. Janza E. (C) 14. Kubicki J. 18. Sadilek L. 82. Urbanski K. 88. Ismaheel T. 11. Prekop E. 33. Khlan M.
Substitutes
7. Agnero Y. 14. Bengtsson L. 20. Gumny R. 24. Jagiello F. 4. Moutinho J. 41. Mrozek B. (G) 17. Sayyadmanesh A. 72. Skrzypczak M. 23. Thordarson G.	4. Bochniewicz P. 28. Donio B. 34. Durdov B. 7. Ikia Dimi Y. 23. Liseth S. 99. Loska T. (G) 5. Szczesniak K. 2. Warczak P. 21. Zmrzly O.
Coaches
Frederiksen N.	Gasparik M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Khlan M. ⚽, Urbanski K. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Kozubal A. ⚽, Walemark P. (A),
40', Kubicki J. ↓, Donio B. ↑,
45+1', Donio B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 2 - 1, Ishak M. ⚽, Kozubal A. (A),
65', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
65', Murawski R. ↓, Jagiello F. ↑,
65', Walemark P. ↓, Bengtsson L. ↑,
65', Prekop E. ↓, Liseth S. ↑,
66', Ismaheel T. ↓, Ikia Dimi Y. ↑,
66', Janza E. ↓, Zmrzly O. ↑,
69', 3 - 1, Rodriguez P. ⚽,
71', Kozubal A. 🟨,
73', Kozubal A. ↓, Thordarson G. ↑,
73', Urbanski K. ↓, Durdov B. ↑,
76', Thordarson G. 🟨,
79', Rodriguez P. ↓, Sayyadmanesh A. ↑,
89', Sacek M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 3.

Górnik Zabrze is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Górnik Zabrze may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Górnik Zabrze has had a series of away games.

In this match, Lech is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Lech: Douglas A. (Ribs Injury) Gholizadeh A. (Knee Injury) Sayyadmanesh A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lech: Jakobczyk K. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lech won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.5:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Lech Poznań - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 47.4%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Górnik Zabrze - the odds 3.7 are the expected chance of winning is 24.6%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Lech Poznań - Podbrezová	3:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.05.26	Lech Poznań - Wisła Płock	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	Radomiak Radom - Lech Poznań	1:3 ✺
08.05.26	Lech Poznań - Arka Gdynia	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Motor Lublin - Lech Poznań	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTWTW
- Górnik Zabrze
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Nordsjælland - Górnik Zabrze	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Swarovski Tirol - Górnik Zabrze	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Górnik Zabrze	2:1 ✺
28.06.26	Hallescher - Górnik Zabrze	1:2 ✺
24.06.26	Górnik Zabrze - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
04.03.26	Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze	0:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
07.02.26	Górnik Zabrze - Lech Poznań	0:1
02.08.25	Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze	2:1
06.12.24	Górnik Zabrze - Lech Poznań	2:1
21.07.24	Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze	2:0
09.03.24	Górnik Zabrze - Lech Poznań	0:0
02.09.23	Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze	1:1

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