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Current Win Probability
Górnik Łęczna 51.6%
Draw 25.4%
Stal Stalowa Wola 23%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.7%
25.5%
24.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
24.7%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Górnik Łęczna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Stal Stalowa Wola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Górnik Łęczna - Stal Stalowa Wola Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Matysek A. (G) 30. Akhmedov B. 10. Deja A. 17. Janaszek F. (C) 5. Kobryn R. 7. Korbecki B. 74. Kruk K. 38. Myszor J. 19. Quainoo S. 27. Rogala G. 16. Walski M.
33. Smylek M. (G) 44. Chrzanowski A. 4. Furtak L. (C) 3. Grabowski M. 10. Hebel M. 9. Jelen J. 87. Nawrocki K. 30. Rogalski A. 23. Sliwa M. 11. Zaucha P. 6. Zemlo P.
Substitutes
29. Antkowiak H. 8. Niewiarowski W. 9. Novotny J. 40. Stadnicki E. 77. Swierkot I. 11. Tkacz D. 23. Turek K. 99. Wilk K. (G)
43. Czerwik J. 1. Harcinski K. (G) 77. Kaminski D. 5. Kedziora H. 8. Kort K. 21. Kwapisz S. 7. Radecki M. 19. Wolny D. 16. Zyra P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Chrzanowski A. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Walski M. ⚽, Myszor J. (A),
42', Jelen J. ↓, Wolny D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Rogalski A. ↓, Czerwik J. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Hebel M. ⚽, Nawrocki K. (A),
56', Wolny D. 🟨,
63', Grabowski M. ↓, Kaminski D. ↑,
66', Akhmedov B. ↓, Niewiarowski W. ↑,
68', Walski M. 🟨,
76', Sliwa M. ↓, Radecki M. ↑,
76', Nawrocki K. ↓, Kwapisz S. ↑,
78', Quainoo S. 🟨,
86', Janaszek F. ↓, Novotny J. ↑,
86', Walski M. ↓, Tkacz D. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Radecki M. ⚽, Zaucha P. (A),
90+2', Kwapisz S. 🟨,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Division 2 Promotion - Playoffs and 14th in the Division 2 Promotion - Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 4.
Górnik Łęczna is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Stal Stalowa Wola has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Górnik Łęczna carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Górnik Łęczna has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:9 (averaging 1.9:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Górnik Łęczna against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:6 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
Poland
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Matysek A. (G) 
Akhmedov B. 
Quainoo S. 
Novotny J. 
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