Match Info

Division 2 - Round 7

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Stali Stalowa Wola (Stalowa Wola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Stal Stalowa Wola		Zawisza Bydgoszcz

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.25	2.85
	1.95	3.25	3.3
	1.92	3.7	3.43
	2.01	3.76	3.28	Watch
	1.87	3.6	3.25
	1.95	3.48	3.33	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.17)	3.48 ↑ (3.2)	3.25 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Stalowa Wola
46%

Draw
26.1%

Zawisza Bydgoszcz
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

28.2%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

29.7%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Zawisza Bydgoszcz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zawisza Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Stal Stalowa Wola - Zawisza Bydgoszcz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Smylek M. (G) 44. Chrzanowski A. 43. Czerwik J. 4. Furtak L. (C) 9. Jelen J. 77. Kaminski D. 21. Kwapisz S. 18. Nongo G. 23. Sliwa M. 11. Zaucha P. 16. Zyra P.	1. Oczkowski M. (G) 4. Golak S. 13. Juskiewicz J. 6. Kanach R. 10. Kona M. (C) 9. Kozlowski F. 27. Kusmierczyk B. 23. Nowak K. 24. Staniak M. 17. Stepien M. 21. Szumilas W.
Substitutes
1. Harcinski K. (G) 10. Hebel M. . Kedziora H. 7. Radecki M. 30. Rogalski A. . Saj J. 13. Solarz M. 17. Tomalski H. 19. Wolny D.	. Bogusiewicz K. . Brzozowski K. . Cywinski M. . Dziarkowski M. . Mas M. . Rak S. . Slawek M. . Strzyzewski M. . Wojciechowski T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Jelen J. ⚽, Furtak L. (A),
24', Staniak M. 🟨,
29', Stepien M. 🟨,
29', Stepien M. 🟨,
36', Kona M. ↓, Rak S. ↑,
42', 1 - 1, Rak S. ⚽,
45+1', Kozlowski F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 2 - 1, Jelen J. ⚽,
59', 3 - 1, Jelen J. ⚽,
62', Kusmierczyk B. ↓, Bogusiewicz K. ↑,
62', Nowak K. ↓, Strzyzewski M. ↑,
62', Kanach R. ↓, Cywinski M. ↑,
63', 3 - 2, ⚽,
71', Kaminski D. ↓, Hebel M. ↑,
71', Zyra P. ↓, Radecki M. ↑,
71', Jelen J. ↓, Wolny D. ↑,
76', Nongo G. 🟨,
77', 3 - 3, Staniak M. ⚽,
80', Chrzanowski A. 🟨,
80', Czerwik J. ↓, Rogalski A. ↑,
85', Kozlowski F. ↓, Mas M. ↑,
90+2', Sliwa M. ↓, Tomalski H. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

Stal Stalowa Wola is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zawisza is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Stal Stalowa Wola has had a series of away games.

Stal Stalowa Wola might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Stal Stalowa Wola won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Stal Stalowa Wola won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Zawisza: 3.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Zawisza	10	4	4	2	17:13	4	16
13	S. Wola	10	3	1	6	16:21	-5	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 2
29.08.26	Hutnik - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:1 ✺
21.08.26	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Stal Stalowa Wola - Avia Świdnik	4:0 ✺
08.08.26	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:1 ✺
Polish Cup
05.08.26	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLL
- Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Polish Division 2
29.08.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Legia II	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Avia Świdnik - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:4 ✺
16.08.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Resovia Rzeszów	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
16.09.15	Stal Stalowa Wola - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:2

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