Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 14

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Göztepe		Giresunspor

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	13	Watch
	1.24	5.5	10.5
	1.25	5.5	13	Watch
	1.27	5.72	12.78
	1.26	5.72	12.78
	1.18	5	12
	1.24	5.35	11.5
	1.24	5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.42)	5.38 ↑ (4.3)	12.07 ↑ (7.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Göztepe
75%

Draw
17.3%

Giresunspor
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

21.6%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

20.8%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Göztepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Göztepe's performance.

Giresunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Giresunspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Göztepe than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Göztepe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giresunspor than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Göztepe - Giresunspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Göztepe will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Giresunspor will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Göztepe: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lis M. (G) 77. Bayrak O. 4. Altikardes T. 15. Serbest T. 24. Nielsen L. 12. Koybasi I. 21. Erdogan D. 30. Kayan Y. 23. Mamah K. 45. Messaoudi B. 43. Tijanic D.	1. Anapa E. (G) 23. Senlikoglu E. 77. Keskin M. 94. Cinar A. 99. Genc F. C. 97. Kutuk F. 26. Savicevic V. 11. Kuwas B. 10. Cekdar O. 17. Dik S. 9. Kurt M.
Substitutes
50. Akdag U. 17. Aksakal E. 3. Dere A. 19. Gedik E. 9. Kanatsizkus K. 33. Nukan A. 13. Ozcimen A. (G) 7. Traore A. 88. Uzum F. 6. Yuksel C.	84. Akbayrak C. 22. Akcay A. 81. Ceylan E. 24. Corut G. (G) 50. Gun B. 66. Kosker K. 70. Nizam E. 34. Turhan M. 7. Ulvan T. 4. Yilmaz F.
Coaches
Stoilov S.	Birinci M.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Göztepe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Giresunspor is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Giresunspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Göztepe is certain favorite.

There will not play in Giresunspor: Senghor F. (Thigh Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Göztepe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Göztepe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Göztepe
Turkish First League
26.11.23	Göztepe - Tuzlaspor	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Erzurumspor - Göztepe	3:2 ✺
04.11.23	Göztepe - Kocaelispor	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Keçiörengücü - Göztepe	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Göztepe - Şanlıurfaspor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWW
- Giresunspor
Turkish First League
25.11.23	Giresunspor - Kocaelispor	1:4 ✺
11.11.23	Tuzlaspor - Giresunspor	3:1 ✺
05.11.23	Giresunspor - Erzurumspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
01.11.23	Giresunspor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	1:2 penalties ✺
Turkish First League
27.10.23	Şanlıurfaspor - Giresunspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
27.02.22	Giresunspor - Göztepe	3:1
02.10.21	Göztepe - Giresunspor	0:1
Turkish First League
02.04.17	Göztepe - Giresunspor	2:1
14.02.16	Giresunspor - Göztepe	3:1
13.09.15	Göztepe - Giresunspor	0:1

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