Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 11

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Giresunspor		Erzurumspor

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.05
	3.4	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.46	3.32	2.2
	3.46	3.32	2.2
	3.1	3.2	2.05
	3.36	3.18	2.13
	3.25	3.25	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.87)	3.27 ↑ (3.25)	2.11 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giresunspor
27.7%

Draw
28.3%

Erzurumspor
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

28.7%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

28.6%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giresunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Erzurumspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giresunspor than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Giresunspor - Erzurumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Giresunspor will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Erzurumspor will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anapa E. (G) 23. Senlikoglu E. 37. Seven K. 94. Cinar A. 99. Genc F. C. 97. Kutuk F. 28. Akdag E. 10. Cekdar O. 26. Savicevic V. 17. Dik S. 11. Kuwas B.	1. Bakirbas G. (G) 77. Hanalp C. 53. Ovacikli O. 22. Yumlu M. 2. Akbas M. 19. Budak U. 25. Estrela 8. Akgun S. 5. Artarslan B. 10. Tozlu E. 17. Rosheuvel M.
Substitutes
84. Akbayrak C. 22. Akcay A. 81. Ceylan E. 24. Corut G. (G) 50. Gun B. 77. Keskin M. 66. Kosker K. 9. Kurt M. 34. Turhan M. 4. Yilmaz F.	3. Kirtay Y. 9. Mevlutoglu H. 14. Ozfesli A. 20. Ozhan M. 4. Sasi F. 18. Sert O. 24. Shala H. 99. Varlik G. 13. Yagci O. (G) 11. Yilmaz G.
Coaches
Birinci M.	Kutlu H.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Giresunspor is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Erzurumspor is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Giresunspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Erzurumspor will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Giresunspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Giresunspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giresunspor
Turkish Cup
01.11.23	Giresunspor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	1:2 penalties ✺
Turkish First League
27.10.23	Şanlıurfaspor - Giresunspor	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Giresunspor - Boluspor	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Adanaspor - Giresunspor	4:2 ✺
30.09.23	Giresunspor - Altay	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLLT
- Erzurumspor
Turkish Cup
01.11.23	Erzurumspor - Yeni Diyarbakırspor	1:0 ET ✺
Turkish First League
28.10.23	Tuzlaspor - Erzurumspor	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Erzurumspor - Keçiörengücü	0:1 ✺
06.10.23	Kocaelispor - Erzurumspor	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Erzurumspor - Boluspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
05.07.20	Giresunspor - Erzurumspor	0:2
14.12.19	Erzurumspor - Giresunspor	2:0
18.03.18	Erzurumspor - Giresunspor	5:4
04.11.17	Giresunspor - Erzurumspor	2:0

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