Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 7

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda (Santiago del Estero)


	Güemes		Mitre

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.5	3.8	Watch
	2.22	2.58	3.95	Watch
	2.33	2.59	4.49
	2.29	2.52	4.36	Watch
	2.3	2.5	3.9
	2.23	2.38	4.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.29)	2.51 ↓ (2.8)	4.14 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Güemes
41%

Draw
36.7%

Mitre
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

33.3%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

32.9%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Güemes - Mitre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Finochietto L. (G) 5. Baier G. 3. Benitez M. 4. Bordon A. 8. Gerez M. 11. Godoy F. 6. Lazza E. 7. Sala S. G. 9. Sanchez J. 2. Vanegas Zuniga O. L. 10. Veliz D.	1. Pietrobono I. (G) 5. Alessandroni J. (C) 4. Antunes I. 9. Fernandez G. 6. Ferreyra T. 7. Machado M. 11. Maldonado M. 2. Minissale P. 8. Montenegro M. 3. Rodriguez M. 10. Rosales S.
Substitutes
20. Amilivia T. 16. Berges F. 18. Esposito G. 14. Juarez W. 12. Martinez L. (G) 13. Oneto T. 17. Quiroz M. 15. Rizzi F.	13. Abello D. 15. Correa L. 19. Gonzalez R. 12. Ledesma J. (G) 17. Lopez A. 16. Romero M. 18. Salto C. 14. Vazquez M. 20. Zarate J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Vanegas Zuniga O. L. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Sanchez J. ⚽, Baier G. (A),
45+2', Baier G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Montenegro M. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Lopez A. ⚽, Rosales S. (A),
55', Antunes I. 🟨,
57', Godoy F. 🟨,
60', Gerez M. 🟨,
62', 2 - 1, Sanchez J. ⚽, Sala S. G. (A),
66', Veliz D. ↓, Rizzi F. ↑,
66', Gerez M. ↓, Esposito G. ↑,
68', 2 - 2, Antunes I. ⚽, Lopez A. (A),
72', Fernandez G. ↓, Zarate J. ↑,
72', Maldonado M. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
73', Sanchez J. ↓, Amilivia T. ↑,
73', Baier G. ↓, Berges F. ↑,
84', Machado M. ↓, Salto C. ↑,
85', Sala S. G. ↓, Pugliese G. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 12).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Güemes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Güemes could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Güemes won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Güemes won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Mitre - the odds 3.6 are the expected chance of winning is 25.92%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.03.26	Güemes - Agropecuario Argentino	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Tristán Suárez - Güemes	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Güemes - Chacarita Juniors	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	San Martín de San Juan - Güemes	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Güemes - Nueva Chicago	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTWLL
- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.03.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Mitre	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Mitre - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Racing de Córdoba - Mitre	0:0 ✺
23.02.26	Mitre - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	All Boys - Mitre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.08.24	Güemes - Mitre	0:0
07.04.24	Mitre - Güemes	2:0
27.07.22	Güemes - Mitre	1:1

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