Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 1

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda (Santiago del Estero)


	Güemes		Nueva Chicago

	1	X	2
	1.91	2.75	5.25	Watch
				Watch
	2	2.83	5.37
	2.62	1.93	5.92	Watch
	1.95	2.63	4.8
	1.91	2.63	5.13	Watch
	1.85	2.9	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.96)	2.61 ↓ (2.8)	5.3 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Güemes
46.2%

Draw
36.1%

Nueva Chicago
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

32.5%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Güemes - Nueva Chicago Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Güemes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Güemes will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Finochietto L. (G) 4. Juarez W. 2. Oneto T. 6. Lazza E. 3. Benitez M. 8. Gerez M. 5. Baier G. 10. Veliz D. 11. Berges F. 7. Sala S. G. 9. Sanchez J.	1. Jachfe L. (G) 4. Palazzo B. 2. Zalazar R. E. 6. Moreno F. 3. Ferracutti G. 8. Rodriguez T. 5. Ramirez R. 11. Vega G. 7. Cocimano S. 9. Romero M. S. 10. Ambrogio L.
Substitutes
19. Amilivia T. 14. Bordon A. 17. Godoy F. 12. Martinez L. (G) 20. Mendoza J. 18. Pugliese G. 16. Quiroz M. 15. Rizzi F. 13. Vanegas Zuniga O. L.	18. Balbuena R. 20. Barros D. 17. Cardozo E. 12. Masuero F. (G) 15. Mendez E. 19. Ocampo T. 13. Sardinas J. 14. Trindade G. 16. Vera M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vega G. ↓, Balbuena R. ↑,
46', Romero M. S. ↓, Mendez E. ↑,
54', Baier G. 🟨,
60', Veliz D. ↓, Pugliese G. ↑,
60', Sanchez J. ↓, Quiroz M. ↑,
61', Berges F. ↓, Amilivia T. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Cocimano S. ⚽, Mendez E. (A),
70', Moreno F. ↓, Cardozo E. ↑,
70', Ambrogio L. ↓, Trindade G. ↑,
74', Sala S. G. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
82', Gerez M. ↓, Godoy F. ↑,
87', Palazzo B. ↓, Vera M. ↑,

Preview

In this match, Güemes is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Güemes won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Güemes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.10.25	Club Almagro - Güemes	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Güemes - San Miguel	1:0 ✺
22.09.25	Quilmes - Güemes	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Güemes - Racing de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Güemes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWTWL
- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.10.25	Temperley - Nueva Chicago	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Nueva Chicago - Agropecuario Argentino	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Defensores Unidos - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Nueva Chicago - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:0 ✺
05.09.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - Nueva Chicago	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.09.23	Güemes - Nueva Chicago	1:0
06.05.23	Nueva Chicago - Güemes	1:2
27.06.22	Nueva Chicago - Güemes	0:2

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