Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 21

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Nordic Wellness Arena (Göteborg)

Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	HOY TV
Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Häcken		Mjällby

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.33	5.50
	1.52	4.40	5.50
	1.47	4.40	6.00
	1.55	4.57	5.64
	1.56	4.38	5.48	Watch
	1.54	4.50	5.45
	1.55	4.38	5.56	Watch
	1.50	4.40	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.65)	4.42 ↑ (4.03)	5.57 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Häcken
61.8%

Draw
21.3%

Mjällby
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

23%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

22.3%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Häcken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Häcken's performance.

Mjällby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Häcken - Mjällby Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Häcken (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Mjällby (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Häcken will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Häcken (votes: 1 - 50%). Mjällby (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Linde A. (G) 5. Wembangomo B. 13. Hilvenius H. 22. Helander F. 21. Lundkvist A. 19. Seger D. 6. Doumbia A. 20. Svanback A. 10. Rygaard M. (C) 11. Lindberg J. 9. Lindgren G.	13. Wallinder R. (G) 25. Nielsen M. 33. Miettinen T. 4. Noren A. 5. Iqbal A. 14. Granath V. 7. Gustafson V. 22. Gustavsson J. (C) 6. Enggaard M. 9. Youssef A. 18. Bergstrom J.
Substitutes
7. Agger M. 35. Andersson D. (G) 14. Haaland M. 8. Hestnes S. 32. Ibrahim H. 18. Lindberg W. 24. Sadiku B. 23. Samuelsson O. 27. Wawa C.	3. Agnarsson M. 39. Arrhenius R. 26. Hoffmann I. 10. Kjaer J. 29. Lindberg O. 35. Lundin A. (G) 23. Samuelsen A. 2. Svanberg L. 27. Tidstrand L.
Coaches
Gustafsson J.	Aksum K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Gustavsson J. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Bergstrom J. ⚽, Iqbal A. (A),
36', Lundkvist A. ↓, Samuelsson O. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, Lindberg J. ⚽,
62', Enggaard M. ↓, Samuelsen A. ↑,
72', Rygaard M. ↓, Agger M. ↑,
75', Youssef A. ↓, Kjaer J. ↑,
86', Lindgren G. ↓, Lindberg W. ↑,
86', Seger D. ↓, Hestnes S. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Häcken won 2.

Häcken is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mjällby is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mjällby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Häcken is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Häcken: Engdahl B. (Lower-Body Injury) Ohman F. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Mjällby: Dalsgaard V. (Injury) Isaksson M. (Inactive) Stavitski T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Mjällby: Samuelsen A. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Häcken won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Häcken won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).

Outrights of Swedish Allsvenskan for now

Hacken: 0.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Hacken	22	9	9	4	39:30	9	36
12	Mjallby	22	5	7	10	27:38	-11	22

Last Results with these Odds

Häcken - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.26%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Häcken
Swedish Allsvenskan
05.09.26	GAIS - Häcken	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Häcken - Västerås SK	1:3 ✺
Svenska Cupen
25.08.26	Utsikten - Häcken	1:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
21.08.26	Sirius - Häcken	0:3 ✺
17.08.26	Häcken - Halmstad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLWWW
- Mjällby AIF
Swedish Allsvenskan
07.09.26	Mjällby - IFK Göteborg	1:4 ✺
03.09.26	Mjällby - Djurgården	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Djurgården - Mjällby	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Mjällby	3:0 ✺
20.08.26	Mjällby - Red Bull Salzburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
17.05.26	Mjällby - Häcken	0:1
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Häcken - Mjällby	2:2
Swedish Allsvenskan
09.11.25	Mjällby - Häcken	1:0
12.04.25	Häcken - Mjällby	0:3
Svenska Cupen
08.03.25	Mjällby - Häcken	0:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
29.05.24	Mjällby - Häcken	2:1
31.03.24	Häcken - Mjällby	0:1

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