Match Info

Date: 12 September 2020, Saturday


	Hércules		OLS

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.5	4.5
	1.6	4.25	3.7
	1.58	4.25	4.1
	1.55	4.1	4.5
	1.61	4.54	4.68
	1.58	4.3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.62)	4.32 ↓ (4.33)	4.33 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules
57.9%

Draw
21.1%

OLS
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

20.7%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

13.8%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

OLS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-21.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hércules that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OLS than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that OLS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hércules - OLS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 10).

Recent matches Hércules is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

OLS is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

OLS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hércules is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Hércules won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Hércules won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hércules CF
Club Friendly
09.09.20	UCAM Murcia - Hércules	0:1 ✺
06.09.20	Levante B - Hércules	0:0 ✺
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
27.08.20	Kemi City - Hércules	4:1 ✺
15.08.20	Hércules - RoPS 2	0:2 ✺
08.08.20	Hércules - Kemi City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLLW
- OLS Oulu
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
31.08.20	OLS - RoPS 2	1:2 ✺
15.08.20	Kemi City - OLS	2:1 ✺
10.08.20	RoPS 2 - OLS	1:3 ✺
02.08.20	OLS - Hércules	1:3 ✺
19.07.20	OLS - VIFK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
02.08.20	OLS - Hércules	1:3
Club Friendly
26.01.20	Hércules - OLS	2:1
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
03.08.19	Hércules - OLS	2:1
24.05.19	OLS - Hércules	2:2
31.07.18	OLS - Hércules	0:3
13.05.18	Hércules - OLS	1:0

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