Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Södra Götaland - Round 7

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Högaborgs		Berga

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.7	2.2
	2.8	3.75	2.15
	2.46	3.65	2.27
	2.53	3.72	2.11
	2.4	3.75	2.4
	2.84	3.75	2.16
	2.8	3.75	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.31)	3.72 ↑ (3.62)	2.21 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Högaborgs
34.6%

Draw
24.3%

Berga
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

25.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

24.8%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Högaborgs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Högaborgs's form might have worsened.

Berga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Berga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Högaborgs than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Högaborgs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berga than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Berga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Engstrom O. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Eliassi E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 12 in the zone Division 2 ~ Su00f6dra Gu00f6taland (Relegation)).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Högaborgs BK
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
04.05.24	Kristianstad - Högaborgs	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Högaborgs - Karlshamn	0:2 ✺
19.04.24	IFK Hässleholm - Högaborgs	1:3 ✺
13.04.24	Högaborgs - Simrishamn	1:2 ✺
08.04.24	Balkan - Högaborgs	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWLL
- IFK Berga
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
05.05.24	IFK Trelleborg - Berga	4:1 ✺
28.04.24	Berga - Kristianstad	3:2 ✺
21.04.24	Karlshamn - Berga	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Berga - IFK Hässleholm	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Simrishamn - Berga	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLTL

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