Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Høddvoll Stadion (Ulsteinvik)


	Hødd		Kvik Halden

	1	X	2
	1.18	6.25	10.5
	1.18	6	13
	1.17	6.92	12.92
	1.18	6.92	12.92
	1.12	6.5	12
	1.15	6.7	13.6
	1.21	5.8	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.3)	6.44 ↑ (5)	12.05 ↑ (7.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hødd
78.2%

Draw
14.2%

Kvik Halden
7.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

18.2%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3%

17.1%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hødd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hødd's performance.

Kvik Halden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hødd than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kvik Halden than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Hødd - Kvik Halden Predictions

Users Predictions: Hødd will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alme O. (G) 4. Blikstad E. 23. Gjerde F. 11. Haheim-Elveseter M. 7. Hjelmeseth R. 17. Johansen T. 8. Kallevag T. (C) 5. Mulac M. 2. Murray T. 9. Myrlid E. 6. Urnes H.	12. Sundling J. (G) 14. Blackwell Z. 8. Halsne J. 42. Jatta M. 11. Johansen J. 17. Mehmeti D. (C) 20. Mjekiqi A. 19. Molund A. 4. Mrakovic T. 23. Myklebust A. 16. Pereira K.
Substitutes
29. Aske O. 14. Bjordal O. 22. Brandal D. 16. Hagen I. 26. Johansen I. 25. Rod S. (G) 21. Roppen A. 15. Svaeren H. 27. Televik A.	1. Ferguson J. S. (G) 3. Grimstad M. 25. Hagen H. 47. Lorentzen K. 9. Ramstad A. 77. Salamov T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Haheim-Elveseter M. ⚽,
27', Mjekiqi A. 🟨,
40', Mehmeti D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Johansen T. 🟨,
65', Mulac M. ↓, Bjordal O. ↑,
65', Gjerde F. ↓, Brandal D. ↑,
69', Johansen J. 🟨,
76', Johansen J. ↓, Ramstad A. ↑,
76', Mjekiqi A. ↓, Salamov T. ↑,
85', Pereira K. ↓, Hagen H. ↑,
88', Hjelmeseth R. ↓, Hagen I. ↑,
90+1', Jatta M. ↓, Lorentzen K. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Hødd is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kvik Halden has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Hødd is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hødd won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Hødd won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IL Hødd
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
20.05.24	Brattvåg - Hødd	0:2 ✺
12.05.24	Hødd - Vard Haugesund	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Ørn-Horten - Hødd	3:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.05.24	Hødd - Molde	1:3 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
28.04.24	Hødd - Flekkerøy	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLLW
- Kvik Halden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
20.05.24	Kvik Halden - Notodden	2:3 ✺
11.05.24	Arendal - Kvik Halden	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Lysekloster - Kvik Halden	5:0 ✺
28.04.24	Kvik Halden - Vard Haugesund	1:3 ✺
20.04.24	Flekkerøy - Kvik Halden	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
05.09.21	Kvik Halden - Hødd	0:1
11.07.21	Hødd - Kvik Halden	3:0
23.08.20	Kvik Halden - Hødd	2:1
13.07.19	Kvik Halden - Hødd	7:1
05.05.19	Hødd - Kvik Halden	1:1

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