Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 5

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Lystlunden Stadion (Horten)


	Ørn-Horten		Hødd

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.75	2.2
	3.2	3.49	2.08
	3.11	3.65	2.06
	2.65	3.8	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.73)	3.67 ↓ (3.82)	2.13 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ørn-Horten
31.5%

Draw
25.1%

Hødd
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

24.2%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

23.5%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ørn-Horten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Hødd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ørn-Horten than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hødd than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Ørn Horten - Hødd Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Solberg K. (G) 4. Forsund A. (C) 19. Hamde D. 11. Helling G. 10. Kadriu A. 8. Knutsen T. 2. Nilsen S. 5. Pop S. 3. Riise N. 9. Rogulj A. 24. Schie P.	1. Alme O. (G) 4. Blikstad E. 3. Fjortoft A. 11. Haheim-Elveseter M. 17. Johansen T. 8. Kallevag T. (C) 5. Mulac M. 2. Murray T. 9. Myrlid E. 10. Skotheim I. 6. Urnes H.
Substitutes
25. Bamenye F. 17. Hargott C. 18. Nilsen N. 12. Sande Arntsen F. (G) 13. Skullestad V. 27. Skulstad-Hansen E.	14. Bjordal O. 22. Brandal D. 23. Gjerde F. 7. Hjelmeseth R. 25. Rod S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Skotheim I. ⚽,
35', Fjortoft A. 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, Haheim-Elveseter M. ⚽,
45', Johansen T. 🟨,
45', 1 - 2, Schie P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Mulac M. ↓, Bjordal O. ↑,
46', Fjortoft A. ↓, Hjelmeseth R. ↑,
68', Hamde D. ↓, Hargott C. ↑,
68', Schie P. ↓, Skulstad-Hansen E. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Nilsen S. ⚽,
77', Kallevag T. 🟨,
78', Urnes H. ↓, Gjerde F. ↑,
83', Nilsen S. 🟨,
83', Murray T. ↓, Brandal D. ↑,
90', Pop S. 🟨,
90+5', Brandal D. 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 2, Rogulj A. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Ørn-Horten is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hødd is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ørn-Horten could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ørn-Horten
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
28.04.24	Arendal - Ørn-Horten	1:0 ✺
22.04.24	Ørn-Horten - Brann 2	2:3 ✺
13.04.24	Ørn-Horten - Brattvåg	2:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Ørn-Horten - Mjøndalen	0:3 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
06.04.24	Jerv - Ørn-Horten	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL
- IL Hødd
Norwegian NM Cup
01.05.24	Hødd - Molde	1:3 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
28.04.24	Hødd - Flekkerøy	3:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.24	Hødd - Aalesunds	1:0 ET ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
21.04.24	Jerv - Hødd	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
11.04.24	Volda - Hødd	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWWLW

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