Match Info

Division 2 - Group 2 - Round 21

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Hønefoss Stadion (Hønefoss)


	Hønefoss		Tromsdalen

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.00	3.60
	1.62	4.00	4.00
	1.69	4.42	3.78
	1.72	4.51	3.77	Watch
	1.63	4.30	3.65
	1.59	4.15	4.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.62)	4.23 ↑ (4)	3.83 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hønefoss
54.9%

Draw
21.4%

Tromsdalen
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hønefoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Tromsdalen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hønefoss than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsdalen than the current prediction. (-3%)

Hønefoss - Tromsdalen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Hønefoss (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hønefoss (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Byttingsvik J. (G) 20. Gurendal A. F. 4. Holte S. 17. Naustdal T. 21. Nestaker S. 6. Nilsen O. (C) 15. Oya J. 22. Pedersen B. 14. Randers A. 28. Sawaneh E. 7. Wang O.	1. Thomas S. (G) 9. Dyrkoren B. 22. Eliassen A. 6. Elvebu J. 16. Hafstad D. 5. Hafstad T. 18. Jacobsen O. H. 32. Johansen P. 4. Laugsand S. (C) 20. Selnes I. K. 8. Skogvoll E.
Substitutes
1. Eggen M. (G) 30. Hokstad P. 18. Kyvik L. 25. Lafton E. 5. Murray T. 95. Nagirnyi A. 24. Roine-Elsrud A. 3. Rydje L. 9. Svensson H.	19. Adolfsen I. 11. Badsvik M. 17. Mehl M. 10. Ness E. 7. Swaleh K. 92. Tollefsen M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', Selnes I. K. 🟨,
45', Jacobsen O. H. 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Pedersen B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Hafstad D. ⚽,
56', 2 - 1, Randers A. ⚽,
57', 🟨,
58', Pedersen B. 🟥,
64', Selnes I. K. 🟨,
65', Elvebu J. ↓, Swaleh K. ↑,
65', Dyrkoren B. ↓, Adolfsen I. ↑,
65', Nestaker S. ↓, Svensson H. ↑,
74', Hafstad D. ↓, Ness E. ↑,
74', Skogvoll E. ↓, Mehl M. ↑,
76', Wang O. ↓, Nagirnyi A. ↑,
85', Hafstad T. ↓, Badsvik M. ↑,
86', Gurendal A. F. ↓, Hokstad P. ↑,
86', Naustdal T. ↓, Kyvik L. ↑,
90+3', Holte S. 🟨,
90+6', Svensson H. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th and 8th).

Hønefoss is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Tromsdalen have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Hønefoss could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Hønefoss carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Hønefoss in today's match, at odds of 1.54.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Hønefoss has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:10 (averaging 2.3:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hønefoss against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Honefoss	22	14	3	5	56:33	23	45
8	Tromsdalen	22	10	2	10	39:38	1	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hønefoss BK
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
19.09.26	Rana - Hønefoss	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Hønefoss - Grorud	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Trygg Lade - Hønefoss	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Hønefoss - Follo	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.08.26	Eik-Tønsberg - Hønefoss	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWWW
- Tromsdalen Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
20.09.26	Skeid - Tromsdalen	0:6 ✺
16.09.26	Grorud - Tromsdalen	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Tromsdalen - Trygg Lade	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
08.09.26	Tromsdalen - Strømmen	9:1 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
05.09.26	Follo - Tromsdalen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
10.05.26	Tromsdalen - Hønefoss	0:3
07.09.25	Tromsdalen - Hønefoss	5:1
27.04.25	Hønefoss - Tromsdalen	2:3
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
05.10.14	Tromsdalen - Hønefoss	2:3

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