Match Info

NM Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: TUIL arena (Tromsø) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Al Hatem A. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Norway	17:00	Direkte Sport


	Tromsdalen		Lyn

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.45	2.95
	2.11	3.84	2.83	Watch
	2.02	3.5	2.75
	2.17	3.9	2.82
	2.05	3.6	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.1)	3.66 ↑ (3.65)	2.84 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tromsdalen
43.5%

Draw
24.7%

Lyn
31.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.7%

25.1%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

24.8%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tromsdalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Lyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tromsdalen than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyn than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Tromsdalen - Lyn Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tromsdalen will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Lyn will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyn (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thomas S. (G) 5. Hafstad T. 4. Laugsand S. (C) 18. Jacobsen O. H. 20. Selnes I. K. 6. Elvebu J. 32. Johansen P. 22. Eliassen A. 7. Swaleh K. 19. Adolfsen I. 16. Hafstad D.	25. Andersen M. (G) 3. Race E. 6. Midtskogen A. 55. Haugen S. 18. Nilsen H. 24. Fredriksen D. (C) 21. Skaug J. 20. Waehler W. T. 9. Olsen A. 11. Hellum A. 10. Johansen M.
Substitutes
11. Badsvik M. 17. Dyrkoren B. 3. Engas L. 9. Halvorsen S. 23. Kleiva C. 12. Kristiansen T. (G) 31. Kristoffersen O. 10. Ness E. 39. Rodahl A.	27. Barnett I. 99. Johnsen-Kraemer T. (G) 26. Memedov A. 7. Monglo I. 17. Nois J. 4. Sell W. 30. Sock F.
Coaches
Samuelsen A.	Aadland M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', Selnes I. K. ↓, Engas L. ↑,
29', 0 - 1, Johansen M. ⚽,
44', Engas L. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Olsen A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hellum A. ↓, Sock F. ↑,
46', Nilsen H. ↓, Barnett I. ↑,
46', Haugen S. ↓, Sell W. ↑,
54', Sell W. 🟨,
58', Elvebu J. 🟨,
60', Elvebu J. ↓, Ness E. ↑,
60', Swaleh K. ↓, Halvorsen S. ↑,
67', Fredriksen D. ↓, Nois J. ↑,
67', Johansen M. ↓, Memedov A. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Halvorsen S. ⚽, Eliassen A. (A),
74', Adolfsen I. ↓, Badsvik M. ↑,
83', Olsen A. 🟨,
87', Memedov A. 🟨,
90', Badsvik M. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 3, Sock F. ⚽,

Preview

Tromsdalen has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Lyn is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Tromsdalen could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Tromsdalen is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Tromsdalen has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:4 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tromsdalen against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:3 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Lyn - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.2%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tromsdalen Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
25.10.26	Rana - Tromsdalen	0:4 ✺
18.10.26	Tromsdalen - Eidsvold Turn	2:3 ✺
11.10.26	Stjørdals-Blink - Tromsdalen	0:1 ✺
04.10.26	Tromsdalen - Levanger	4:2 ✺
27.09.26	Hønefoss - Tromsdalen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLWWL
- Lyn Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.10.26	Sandnes Ulf - Lyn	2:1 ✺
18.10.26	Lyn - Moss	1:0 ✺
14.10.26	Haugesund - Lyn	3:0 ✺
11.10.26	Lyn - Strømsgodset	1:5 ✺
04.10.26	Bryne - Lyn	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.24	Tromsdalen - Lyn	3:1 ET
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
19.11.23	Tromsdalen - Lyn	0:2
15.11.23	Lyn - Tromsdalen	1:2
20.09.15	Tromsdalen - Lyn	3:0

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